2006
DOI: 10.1256/qj.05.188
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Improving simulations of severe winter storms by initial modification of potential vorticity in sensitive regions

Abstract: SUMMARYIn this paper simulations of three selected severe winter storms over the North Atlantic are presented. Modifications of potential vorticity (PV) fields according to features in water vapour (WV) images are combined with information from singular vectors (SVs) in an attempt to improve the initial state over data-sparse regions. The apparent mismatch between features in the WV images and the upper-level PV anomalies in the numerical analyses is corrected, mainly at levels indicated as sensitive by the fa… Show more

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Cited by 14 publications
(16 citation statements)
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“…16a) and the assimilation of the estimated tropopause pressure level with an approximate alignment model (Fig. These broader increments are also in better agreement with the large vertical extent of singular vectors (Røsting and Kristjá nsson 2006). As pointed out in section 3, the vertical structure is broader for the alignment model, which also vertically displaces the upperlevel PV fields (2-PVU and 3-PVU surfaces).…”
Section: Pv Initial Incrementsupporting
confidence: 76%
“…16a) and the assimilation of the estimated tropopause pressure level with an approximate alignment model (Fig. These broader increments are also in better agreement with the large vertical extent of singular vectors (Røsting and Kristjá nsson 2006). As pointed out in section 3, the vertical structure is broader for the alignment model, which also vertically displaces the upperlevel PV fields (2-PVU and 3-PVU surfaces).…”
Section: Pv Initial Incrementsupporting
confidence: 76%
“…This method allows the total flow to be obtained by adding the contributions from several PV anomalies, despite the nonlinearity of the Ertel PV (Kristjánsson et al, 1999). The method has also been successfully used by Røsting and Kristjánsson (2006).…”
Section: Pv Inversionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Concerning PLs induced by baroclinic instability, the cyclogenesis was attributed to upper-level perturbations superimposed on low-level perturbations. After Hoskins et al (1985) elaborated on the application of isentropic potential vorticity in the diagnosis of the upper-level forcing in the development of synoptic-scale cyclones, the approach was used in analysing PL developments (Sunde et al, 1994;Røsting et al, 2003;Røsting and Kristjansson, 2006).…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%