Objective
There is inconsistent evidence that zidovudine use during pregnancy increases
overall, cardiac, and male genital malformations.
Design
We conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis of zidovudine use and
malformations and, using Bayesian methods, combined it with data from a cohort study of
mother-infant pairs in the nationwide Medicaid Analytic eXtract (MAX).
Methods
Using MAX data (2000–2010), we identified pregnant women with HIV
treated with antiretroviral therapy (ART). Women with ≥1 zidovudine dispensing
during the first trimester were compared to women receiving ART without zidovudine in
the first trimester. Malformation outcomes were defined using diagnosis/procedure codes.
To adjust for confounding, we performed 1:1 propensity score matching. Bayesian methods
require specification of a prior, which we developed in the meta-analysis. Logistic
regression models combined MAX data with the prior, estimating odds ratios (ORs) and
95% credible intervals.
Results
Fourteen articles contributed information on overall malformations, 7 on
cardiac malformations, and 5 on male genital malformations. In MAX, matching led to a
sample of 735 women each in the zidovudine and comparator groups. When comparing first
trimester zidovudine use to other ART, the Bayesian procedure yielded OR estimates
slightly above the null for overall (OR=1.11, 95% credible interval
[0.80–1.55]) and cardiac (OR=1.30
[0.63–2.71]) malformations. There were no zidovudine-exposed
cases of male genital malformations in MAX, but the meta-analysis yielded elevated OR
estimates (OR=2.57 [1.26–5.24]).
Conclusions
For most malformations, first trimester zidovudine was not associated with
increased risk. The potential increase in male genital malformations was small in
absolute terms, and should be evaluated further.