BackgroundIn blunt chest trauma, patient management is challenging because clinical guidelines miss tools for risk assessment. No clinical scale reliably measures the severity of cases and the chance of complications.AimThe objective of the study was to optimize the management of patients with blunt chest trauma by creating models prognosticating the transfer to the intensive care unit and in-hospital length of stay (LOS).MethodsThe study cohort consisted of 212 cases. We retrieved information on the cases from the hospital’s trauma registry. After segmenting the lungs with Lung CT Analyzer, we performed volumetric feature extraction with data-characterization algorithms in PyRadiomics.ResultsTo predict whether the patient will require intensive care, we used the three groups of findings: ambulance, admission, and radiomics data. When trained on the ambulance data, the models exhibited a borderline performance. The metrics improved after we retrained the models on a combination of ambulance, laboratory, radiologic, and physical examination data (81.5% vs. 94.4% Sn). Radiomics data were the top-accurate predictors (96.3% Sn). Age, vital signs, anthropometrics, and first aid time were the best-performing features collected by the ambulance service. Laboratory findings, AIS scores for the lower extremity, abdomen, head, and thorax constituted the top-rank predictors received on admission to the hospital. The original first-order kurtosis had the highest predictive value among radiomics data. Top-informative radiomics features were derived from the right hemithorax because the right lung is larger. We constructed regression models that can adequately reflect the in-hospital LOS. When trained on different groups of data, the machine-learning regression models showed similar performance (MAE/ROV≈8%). Anatomic scores for the body parts other than thorax and laboratory markers of hemorrhage had the highest predictive value. Hence, the number of injured body parts correlated with the case severity.ConclusionThe study findings can be used to optimize the management of patients with a chest blunt injury as a specific case of monotrauma. The models we built may help physicians to stratify patients by risk of worsening and overcome the limitations of existing tools for risk assessment. High-quality AI models trained on radiomics data demonstrate superior performance.
