Incidence of and risk factors for preoperative deep vein thrombosis in elderly patients with end-stage osteoarthritis following total knee arthroplasty: a retrospective cohort study

Abstract

Background Deep vein thrombosis (DVT) is a common and serious risk in elderly patients with knee osteoarthritis (OA), making preoperative detection crucial. Despite this, identifying OA patients at high risk for preoperative DVT and appropriately targeting them for venous ultrasound screening remains a challenge. There is limited research-based evidence on the risk factors for preoperative DVT in elderly patients with end-stage OA. We examined the incidence of and risk factors for preoperative DVT in elderly patients with end-stage OA scheduled for total knee arthroplasty. Methods We retrospectively analyzed the demographic data (age, sex, body mass index, current smoking, alcohol consumption, walking status, and Barthel index score), medical history, and laboratory test indices of 1411 patients with end-stage OA aged ≥ 60 years scheduled for total knee arthroplasty from January 2015 to December 2018. Risk factors for preoperative DVT were evaluated by univariate and multivariate logistic analyses. Receiver operating characteristic analysis was performed to determine optimal cut-off values. Results The incidence of preoperative DVT was 4.5% (63 of 1411 patients). Seven independent risk factors were correlated with preoperative DVT in the multivariate logistic regression: age (odds ratio [OR], 1.073; P = 0.002), D-dimer concentration (OR, 1.173; P = 0.003), hyperlipidemia (OR, 2.038; P = 0.045), atrial fibrillation (OR, 4.004; P = 0.033), chronic renal failure (OR, 6.732; P = 0.008), chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) (OR, 8.721; P = 0.001), and walking status (wheelchair) (OR, 2.697; P = 0.002). The optimal cut-off values for predicting preoperative DVT were 0.585 µg/mL for the D-dimer concentration (area under the curve [AUC], 0.769; P < 0.001) and 72.5 years for age (AUC, 0.668; P < 0.001). Conclusion Among elderly patients with end-stage OA, venous ultrasonography to rule out DVT risk should be prioritized in those with a high D-dimer concentration (> 0.585 µg/mL), high age (> 72.5 years), hyperlipidemia, atrial fibrillation, chronic renal failure, COPD, and walking status (wheelchair).