To cite this article: Lowe GDO. Epidemiology of venous thromboembolism: the need for large (including prospective) studies and meta-analyses.J Thromb Haemost 2012; 10: 2186-8.See also Rosendaal FR. Etiology of venous thrombosis: the need for small original studies. This issue, pp 2189-90 and El-Galaly TC, Kristensen SR, Overvad K, Steffensen R, Tjønneland A, Severinsen MT. Interaction between blood type, smoking and factor V Leiden mutation and risk of venous thromboembolism: a Danish case-cohort study. This issue, pp 2191-3.In this issue of the Journal, El-Galaly et al.[1] report on the interactions of two genetic risk factors (non-O blood group and factor V Leiden) for venous thromboembolism (VTE) and two lifestyle risk factors (tobacco-smoking and obesity), using data from a large national prospective study in Denmark. They observed positive interactions of non-O blood group with factor V Leiden, and with heavy smoking, but not with severe obesity. This report extends our knowledge on interactive risk factors for VTE, and highlights the need for further large (including prospective) studies and meta-analyses, to provide scientists, clinicians and their patients with reliable information.It is generally accepted that, like arterial thrombosis, VTE is a multifactorial disease, to which many genetic and environmental factors contribute about equally [2]. These risk factors interact: about half of acute VTE events are precipitated by recognized acute environmental exposures such as trauma, surgery, other illnesses such as infections, or drugs such as oral estrogens. At these times, such prothrombotic interactions are postulated to exceed a threshold at which thrombosis occurs [2].It is increasingly realized that venous and arterial thrombosis share multiple risk factors [3], including precipitation by acute infections, trauma, surgery [4] or oral estrogens [5]. After coronary heart disease (CHD) and stroke, VTE is the commonest cause of cardiovascular death and disability. It is therefore timely and appropriate to compare the historical epidemiological approaches to establishing reliable estimates of the contributions of postulated risk factors (and their interactions) to VTE and to arterial thrombosis (CHD and stroke).To address the epidemic of CHD, which emerged in developed countries in the second half of the 20th century, several prospective studies of risk factors were established in North America, Europe and Australasia. Within 20 years, interactive risk factors, including age, male sex, tobaccosmoking, blood pressure and serum cholesterol, were identified in studies such as the Framingham Study, and observed to be common to stroke and peripheral arterial disease, as well as CHD [6]. Possible chance differences between findings in individual studies were addressed by systematic reviews and meta-analyses of individual participant data (IPD) by the Prospective Studies Collaboration [7,8]. Following the identification of random measurement error in estimates of an individualÕs usual levels of risk factors as a...