Our knowledge of the response of phytoplankton to climate change is restricted by the lack of phytoplankton long-term studies, especially those reporting species data. To circumvent this problem, we combined recent data from sampling at monitoring sites with old bibliographic data. The study was conducted on the genus Ceratium (planktonic dinoflagellates) in the NW Mediterranean, as numerous studies have been conducted in the area since the beginning of the 20th century. In addition, species of this highly diverse genus are known to be particularly sensitive to water temperature, and should thus be responsive to global warming. The temporal distribution of Ceratium species over the last century showed a progressive disappearance from the surface layer of likely stenothermic species, which may have moved to deeper layers in response to water warming, along with a decrease of species richness during the annual cycle. Seasonal and phenological aspects of Ceratium assemblages were also affected, as illustrated by the earlier timing in the minimum of richness. A change in the overall species assemblage also occurred from past to present in the Ligurian Sea, suggesting a warming in this area consistent with the development in surface water temperatures. Our results suggest that Ceratium species may constitute good biological indicators of warming in the NW Mediterranean Sea. In addition, the present study showed the importance of time-series data and the value of historical literature as the basis for ecological studies of long-term trends needed to substantiate our current understanding of the impact of global change on marine biodiversity. KEY WORDS: Ceratium · Phytoplankton · Climate change · Long-term series · Mediterranean · Biodiversity · Biological indicator · Historical ecology
Resale or republication not permitted without written consent of the publisherMar Ecol Prog Ser 375: [85][86][87][88][89][90][91][92][93][94][95][96][97][98][99] 2009 Gentili 1996, Johnson 1997, Marbà & Duarte 1997, although periodic patterns such as the 22 to 25 yr period of solar activity may overlay the monotonic trends and mask them (Duarte et al. 1999). Nutrient concentrations, particularly phosphate and nitrogen, have also increased from the early 1960s, probably due to increasing atmospheric and terrestrial inputs, while concentration in silicate has remained relatively constant (Béthoux et al. 2002).Using different approaches, a number of studies have provided information on the temporal distribution of Mediterranean Sea phytoplankton (Duarte et al. 1999, Goffart et al. 2002, Marty et al. 2002, Gómez & Gorsky 2003, Bosc et al. 2004, Ribera d'Alcalà et al. 2004. Some of these studies show changes in phytoplankton in the NW Mediterranean in relation to climatic forcing. Pigment analysis over a decade revealed a positive trend in phytoplankton biomass in response to the lengthening of the summer stratification, accompanied by an increase of small-sized phytoplankton (picoplankton and nanoflagellates) able to support re...