Increasing prevalence, time trend and seasonality of gastroschisis in São Paulo state, Brazil, 2005–2016

Calderon, Mauricio Giusti; Santos, Edigê Felipe de Sousa; Abreu, Luíz Carlos de; Raimundo, Rodrigo Daminello

doi:10.1038/s41598-019-50935-1

Cited by 22 publications

(28 citation statements)

References 30 publications

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“…Some authors associate the increased incidence of the disease with maternal age below 20 years, smoking, use of illicit drugs during pregnancy, placental insufficiency, genetic, dietary factors, and exposure to chemicals 12 . Calderon et al demonstrated in their recent population study carried out in the state of São Paulo-Brazil between the periods from 2005 to 2016 that the annual prevalence of gastroschisis increased by 2.6% 13 .…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Motor performance evaluation of newborns with gastroschisis after surgical correction

Mota

Shimizu

Lahoz

et al. 2021

jhgd

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Introduction: Gastroschisis is a congenital malformation that has risk factors for delayed neuropsychomotor development. That is why it is important to recognize early developmental changes in these newborns during hospitalization in the Neonatal Intensive Care Unit. Objective: To evaluate the motor performance of newborns with gastroschisis after surgical correction. Methods: An observational and retrospective study was carried out with newborns with gastroschisis, assessed by the Test of Infant Motor Performance at the Neonatal Intensive Care Center 2 of the Instituto da Criança e do Adolescente. The test allows the classification of the risk for developmental delay in 4 categories: within the average for age, low average, below average, and well below average. Maternal, neonatal, surgical, and motor assessment data were collected through electronic medical records. Results: Motor assessment was performed on 17 newborns, where 88.23% were classified as “below average” for age. The mean maternal age was 20 years, and the average gestational age and birth weight were 36.38 weeks and 2343.9 grams, respectively, with the majority being female. Simple gastroschisis accounted for 64.71%, and primary closure was possible in 82.35%. The average hospital stay of 53.24 days, and sepsis was the most frequent complication (64.71%). Conclusion: Newborns with gastroschisis remain hospitalized for a long time and are susceptible to complications. It was possible to identify the delay in the development of these newborns early during hospitalization, which allows intervention by physiotherapy before the delay worsens.

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Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Motor performance evaluation of newborns with gastroschisis after surgical correction

Mota

Shimizu

Lahoz

et al. 2021

jhgd

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“…The independent variable (X value) was days of historical series. We also used the Durbin-Watson test to measure the existence of a first-order autocorrelation of the time series of the daily coefficients, and to verify if the correlation was compatible with the random regression residuals hypothesis 11 .…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…To facilitate the visualization of the trends in casefatality rates, we reduced the random variation in the graph using the five-order moving average technique 11 .…”

Section: Data Collection Proceduresmentioning

confidence: 99%

Trends in case-fatality rates of COVID-19 in the World, between 2019 - 2020

Bernal

Siqueira

Adami

et al. 2020

jhgd

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Introduction: CoV infections can potentially cause from a simple cold to a severe respiratory syndrome, such as the Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome and the Middle East Respiratory Syndrome (MERS-CoV). The COVID-19 created a new reality for global healthcare models. Objetive: To evaluate trends in case fatality rates of COVID-19 in the World. Methods: We conducted a population based time-series study using public and official data of cases and deaths from COVID-19 in Argentina, Australia, Brazil, Chile, China, Colombia, France, Germany, India, Iran, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Morocco, New Zealand, Nigeria, Peru, Saudi Arabia, South Africa, South Korea, Spain, Switzerland, United Kingdom, United States and Russian, between December, 2019 and August, 2020. Data were based on reports from European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control. COVID-19 was defined by the International Classification of Diseases, 10th revision (U07.1). A Prais-Winsten regression model was performed and the Daily Percentage Change (DPC) calculated determine rates as increasing, decreasing or flat. Results: During the study period, trends in case-fatality rates in the world were flat (DPC = 0.3; CI 95% [-0.2: 0.7]; p = 0.225). In Africa, Morocco had decreasing trends (DPC = -1.1; CI 95% [-1.5: -0.7]; p < 0.001), whereas it were increasing in South Africa (p < 0.05) and flat in Nigeria (p > 0.05). In the Americas, Argentina showed a decreasing trend in case-fatality rates (DPC = -0.6; CI 95% [-1.1: -0.2]; p = 0.005), the U.S. had flat trends (p > 0.05) and all other American countries had increasing trends (p < 0.05). In Asia, Iran had decreasing trends (DPC = -1.5; CI 95% [-2.6 : -0.2]; p = 0.019); China and Saudi Arabia showed increasing trends (p < 0.05), while in India, Japan and South Korea they were flat (p > 0.05). European countries had mostly increasing trends (p < 0.05): Germany, Italy, Spain, the UK and Russia; France and Switzerland had flat trends (p > 0.05). Finally, in Oceania, trends in case-fatality rates were flat in Australia (p > 0.05) and increasing in New Zealand (p < 0.05). Conclusion: Trends in case-fatality rates of COVID-19 in the World were flat between December, 31 and August, 31. Argentina, Iran and Morocco were the only countries with decreasing trends. On the other hand, South Africa, Brazil, Canada, Chile, Colombia, Mexico, Peru, China, Saudi Arabia, Germany, Spain, United Kingdom, Russian and New Zealand had increasing trends in case-fatality rate. All the other countries analyzed had flat trends. Based on case-fatality rate data, our study supports that COVID-19 pandemic is still in progress worldwide.

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“…The authors determined an average prevalence of 2.0 (95% CI: 1.9–2.1) gastroschisis cases per 10,000 live births across 18 Europeans registries. The prevalence of gastroschisis was reported to be increasing in Brazil (Calderon et al, 2019), Australia (Whitehall, Kandasamy, Stalewski, & Gill, 2010), New Zealand (Srivastava et al, 2009), and Mexico (Salinas‐Torres, Salinas‐Torres, Cerda‐Flores, & Martínez‐de‐Villarreal, 2018), and decreasing in China (Li et al, 2016; Xu et al, 2011) and Taiwan (Chen, Chen, Chen, Tsai, & Lee, 2019). The variations in gastroschisis rates have been also evaluated in the United States.…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Reports from multiple birth defects surveillance systems have documented an increase in the prevalence of gastroschisis over the last five decades (Anderson et al, 2018; Bhatt et al, 2018; Brebner, Czuzoj‐Shulman, & Abenhaim, 2020; Calderon, Santos, Abreu, & Raimundo, 2019; Given et al, 2017; Jones et al, 2016; Kirby et al, 2013; Loane et al, 2011; MacBird et al, 2009; Werler & Parker, 2017). A recent study from 14 U.S. state surveillance programs described a 30% increase in the prevalence (per 10,000 births) of gastroschisis during the years of 2006–2012 (4.9) compared to 1995–2005 (3.6) and urged public health researchers to determine the etiology of this increase (Jones et al, 2016).…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Trends in prevalence and spatiotemporal distribution of gastroschisis in Arkansas, 1998–2015

ElHassan

Young

Gokun

et al. 2020

Birth Defects Research

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Background: Arkansas (AR) had the highest prevalence of gastroschisis in a recent study including 15 U.S. states. Our objective was to evaluate trends in prevalence and the spatiotemporal distribution of gastroschisis in AR. Methods: Infants with gastroschisis, born 1998-2015, were identified from the Arkansas Reproductive Health Monitoring System. Birth record data were used as denominators for calculations. Maternal residence at delivery was geocoded for spatial analyses. Annual prevalence rates (PRs) were calculated. Joinpoint regression analysis was performed to examine trends in gastroschisis and report the annual percent changes (APCs) in PRs. Spatiotemporal analyses identified counties with unusually high PRs of gastroschisis. Poisson regression, including county, year, and county*year indicators, was fit to evaluate the PRs of gastroschisis, while adjusting for county-level maternal variables. Results: We identified 401 cases of gastroschisis among 694,459 live births. The overall PR of gastroschisis was 5.8/10,000 live births. The prevalence of gastroschisis had a significant APC of +5.3% (p < .0001) between 1998 and 2012, followed by a nonsignificant yearly average decrease of −17% through 2015 (p = 0.2). The Emerging Hot Spot Analysis and SaTScan identified an overlapping five-county cluster from 2006 to 2013. Poisson regression model, including county (inside vs. outside cluster), time (before vs. after 2006), and county*time indicators, was fit to evaluate the PRs of gastroschisis.

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Increasing prevalence, time trend and seasonality of gastroschisis in São Paulo state, Brazil, 2005–2016

Cited by 22 publications

References 30 publications

Motor performance evaluation of newborns with gastroschisis after surgical correction

Motor performance evaluation of newborns with gastroschisis after surgical correction

Trends in case-fatality rates of COVID-19 in the World, between 2019 - 2020

Trends in prevalence and spatiotemporal distribution of gastroschisis in Arkansas, 1998–2015

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