C o p y r i g h t © 2 0 0 9 I n f o r m a U K L i m i t e d N o t f o r S a l e o r C o m m e r c i a l D i s t r i b u t i o n U n a u t h o r i z e d u s e p r o h i b i t e d . A u t h o r i s e d u s e r s c a n d o w n l o a d ,Objective: PREDICTIVE* is a large, observational study of the empirical use of insulin detemir in patients with type 1 or type 2 diabetes (T1DM/T2DM). This post hoc analysis evaluates insulin-naïve patients with T2DM uncontrolled on oral antidiabetic drugs (OADs) who were initiated and remained on once-daily insulin detemir for 12 weeks.Research design and methods: This observational, multinational, multi-center, open-label prospective study evaluated the efficacy and safety of insulin detemir in 1653 insulin-naïve patients with T2DM (mean age 60.8 AE 10.9 years, BMI 29.8 AE 4.8 kg/m 2 , and HbA 1C 8.82 AE 1.50%). Statistical comparisons were made between baseline and 12-week follow up data. Our study was subject to the usual limitations of observational studies.Main outcome measures: Endpoints were: incidence of serious adverse drug reactions, including number of hypoglycemic events (total, major, and nocturnal), glycemic parameters, and weight change.Results: Following insulin initiation, no significant change occurred in the number of nocturnal hypoglycemic events or total hypoglycemic events (p ¼ 0.4513), and no serious adverse drug reactions were observed during the 12 weeks of treatment. HbA 1C decreased by a mean 1.25% (SD AE 1.25%; p50.0001), with 30% of patients (n ¼ 383) achieving HbA 1C 57% at 12 weeks. Mean changes in fasting blood glucose and fasting blood glucose variability were -3.62 mmol/L (SD AE 2.93; p50.0001) and À0.48 mmol/L (SD AE 1.03; p50.0001), respectively. Body weight decreased by a mean 0.5 kg (SD AE 3.3; p50.0001), with weight loss or no weight change occurring in a substantial percentage of patients in each BMI category ( 525,(25)(26)(27)(28)(29)(30)(30)(31)(32)(33)(34)(35), and 435 kg/m 2 ). Patients with higher baseline BMI lost the most weight, with the greatest weight loss (-1.20 kg) reported in those with BMI 435 kg/m 2 .Conclusions: Empirical use of insulin detemir as an insulin initiation strategy can improve glycemic control with good tolerability, including a low risk of hypoglycemia and a weight benefit, in a majority of insulin-naïve patients uncontrolled on OADs.