Industry 1.61803: the transition to an industry with reduced material demand fit for a low carbon future

Allwood, Julian M.; Gutowski, Timothy G.; Serrenho, André Cabrera; Skelton, Alexandra C.H.; Worrell, Ernst

doi:10.1098/rsta.2016.0361

Cited by 20 publications

(14 citation statements)

References 66 publications

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“…Decarbonisation strategies therefore rely heavily on electrifying energy end-use in buildings, transport as well as industry . Alongside air pollution risks, short-lived technologies with rapid innovation cycles can create considerable material waste unless careful attention is placed on material efficiency, lifecycle design, and product durability, modularity, and reparability [11].…”

Section: Substitutability and Risks Of Granularitymentioning

confidence: 99%

Granular technologies to accelerate decarbonization

Wilson

Grübler

Bento

et al. 2020

Science

144

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Meeting international climate targets requires accelerated low-carbon transformation. This means rapid technology diffusion which avoids carbon lock-in and has social legitimacy. More 'granular' energy technologies perform well on all three criteria. Granular technologies are small in size, low in cost, many in number, and distributed in application. Using a wide range of new data and analyses, we show that granularity is associated with faster diffusion, lower investment risk, faster learning, shorter lifetimes, lower complexity, larger efficiency potentials, more equitable access, more job creation, and higher returns on innovation investment. Although broadly robust to variations in context, these advantages are contingent on access to infrastructure, substitutability, and standardisation. Policy support for portfolios of granular energy technologies can help deliver rapid emission reductions in line with global climate change and sustainable development goals.

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Section: Substitutability and Risks Of Granularitymentioning

confidence: 99%

Granular technologies to accelerate decarbonization

Wilson

Grübler

Bento

et al. 2020

Science

144

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

show abstract

“…Carbon sequestration may contribute, in theory, to a reduction in carbon emissions and is included under Allwood and Cullen's [72] one eye open strategy because it could be a solution if no further energy efficiency can be gained. However, this approach, as stated by Allwood et al [77], is inherently uncertain. Firstly, the UK Government, a key supporter of such technologies, has withdrawn funding for carbon capture and storage projects; secondly, even the most optimistic estimations for reduction of atmospheric carbon, via this route, are negligible (28 Mt) compared to global anthropogenic emissions (51,000 Mt) [78,79].…”

Section: The Weaknesses Of a One Eye Strategymentioning

confidence: 99%

“…For example, we can provide the same thermal comfort with more material and less energy, if we have better insulation or vice versa. Such developments mean that one could also ask whether we should deliver material services in a different form or according to a consensus-driven set of societal goals, which has been hinted at by Allwood et al [77] (p.4) in terms of potential for energy savings. The sub-discipline of "energy services" evaluates those services provided by energy and not just the energy carriers themselves.…”

Section: Materials Services: How Best To Unify the Concept?mentioning

confidence: 99%

Material Services with Both Eyes Wide Open

et al. 2017

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Abstract:Energy has been at the forefront of the sustainable development discourse for quite some time as policymakers, industry heads and society at large have taken progressive steps to cut carbon via renewable energy technologies and energy efficiency measures. Unfortunately, some of these methods have given rise to perverse socio-environmental effects; as materials have been unnecessarily sacrificed, mines and wells have opened and plantations grown, in the name of energy saving. This paper contributes to clean energy-orientated policies and practices by exploring the discipline of sustainable materials. We first review two strategies: energy efficiency linked to materials; and material efficiency, meaning "doing more with less." We find that, although both contribute significantly, they are hampered by the rebound effect and their focus on "doing less bad" rather than "good". Furthermore, they do not in themselves evaluate the services and societal wellbeing that materials provide. We then define "material services" and propose a wider strategy that encompasses and enhances the previous two. Under the new strategy, we argue that sustainable materials should be considered as those that do no harm and which optimally, through the services provided, contribute to better sustainable development policies and practices.

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“…Allwood et al (2017) discusses about the challenges and possible solutions to transition in industry with reduced material demand especially in industry sector. Material reduction plays an important role in cement and iron and steel industry where technologies such as 3-D printing not only decrease material waste in addition if Page 18 of 112 https://mc.manuscriptcentral.com/ghgmm Submission to Carbon Management…”

mentioning

confidence: 99%

India in 2 °C and well below 2 °C worlds: Opportunities and challenges

et al. 2018

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India's contributions to meeting global mean temperature 2 °C and well below 2 °C is set to require transformational changes. A bottom up model analyses reference, intended nationally determined contributions and low-carbon scenarios assuming equal per capita cumulative emissions rights from 2011 through 2050. The cumulative CO 2 budget for India for low-carbon scenarios during this period is estimated to be around 115 Bt-CO 2 , as against 165 Bt-CO 2 for the reference scenario. To achieve such emission reduction, while maintaining high economic growth and meeting sustainable development goals, will require transformations to manifest at sub-national levels through technological transitions and strong social engineering. Our analysis shows that transitions are endemic such as shifting towards cleaner fuels, resource efficient technologies, widespread use of ICTs to balance demand-supply (e.g. smart grids), substituting demand in transport (e.g. work from home), aggressive promotion of renewables, lifestyle changes, and CCS. Modelling decarbonisation to meet the needs of increasing population and urbanization is a challenge due to the myriad and distributed nature of technologies used to provide various services, involving risks and uncertainties. The paper finally outlines specific opportunities and challenges faced to meet the increased mitigation ambition to limit the warming to 2 °C and below.

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Industry 1.61803: the transition to an industry with reduced material demand fit for a low carbon future

Cited by 20 publications

References 66 publications

Granular technologies to accelerate decarbonization

Granular technologies to accelerate decarbonization

Material Services with Both Eyes Wide Open

India in 2 °C and well below 2 °C worlds: Opportunities and challenges

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