“…The rise in ZIKV incidence in FSA coincided temporally with an increase in cases of Guillain-Barré syndrome (GBS) and microcephaly (Faria et al, 2016a), with an unprecedented total of 21 confirmed cases of microcephaly in FSA between January 2015 and May 2017. There is wide statistical support for a causal link between ZIKV and severe manifestations such as microcephaly (Rubin et al, 2016; de Araújo et al, 2016; Soares de Araújo et al, 2016; Honein et al, 2017; Brasil et al, 2016; de Oliveira et al, 2017), and the proposed link in 2015 led to the declaration of the South American epidemic as an international public health emergency by the World Health Organization (WHO) in 2016; the response to which has been limited to vector control initiatives and advice to delay pregnancy in the affected countries (WHO, 2016b; WHO, 2016a). With few cohort studies published (Honein et al, 2017; Brasil et al, 2016) and the lack of an established experimental model for ZIKV infection (Aman and Kashanchi, 2016; Dowall et al, 2016), modelling efforts have taken a central role for advancing our understanding of the virus’s epidemiology (Chowell et al, 2016; Ferguson et al, 2016; Bogoch et al, 2016; Nishiura et al, 2016; Zhang et al, 2016; Perkins et al, 2016; Messina et al, 2016).…”