2020
DOI: 10.1016/j.jinteco.2020.103340
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Informality, labor regulation, and the business cycle

Abstract: We analyze the joint impact of employment protection and informality on macroeconomic volatility and the propagation of shocks in emerging economies. For this, we propose a small open economy business cycle model with frictional labor markets, labor regulation, and an informal sector, modeled as self-employment. The model is calibrated to the Mexican economy, in particular to business cycle moments for employment and informality obtained from our own calculations with the ENOE survey for the period 2005-2016. … Show more

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Cited by 25 publications
(14 citation statements)
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“…Almost all contributory social protection regimes in Latin America, which constitute the bulk of overall social spending, are tied to formal employment, thus excluding informal workers (Levy and Cruces, 2021 [13]). Short-time work schemes or other social security elements of the policy response to Covid-19 were therefore inaccessible to informal workers.…”
Section: Expanding Social Protection Schemes During the Covid-19 Crisismentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Almost all contributory social protection regimes in Latin America, which constitute the bulk of overall social spending, are tied to formal employment, thus excluding informal workers (Levy and Cruces, 2021 [13]). Short-time work schemes or other social security elements of the policy response to Covid-19 were therefore inaccessible to informal workers.…”
Section: Expanding Social Protection Schemes During the Covid-19 Crisismentioning
confidence: 99%
“…The author studies the preference of selfemployment for certain social groups in different countries (von Bonfsdorff, Zhan, Song and Wang 2017;Bridges, Fox, Gaggero, & Owens 2017;Halvorsen & Marrow-Howell, 2017;Wu, Fu, Gu & Shi 2018). Informal employment, in turn, interest's researchers in many aspects, such as its scale (Imamoglu, 2016), the features of its existence in cities compared to the countryside (Bunakov, Aslanova, Zaitseva, Larionova, Chudnovskiy, & Eidelman 2019;Rigon, Walker & Koroma 2020), the comparison of the welfare of the formally and informally employed (Perez Perez, 2020), the role of informality in the deployment of business cycles (Leyva & Urrutia, 2020).…”
Section: Literature Reviewmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Sources of shocks causing business cycles. The informal economy can move procyclically or countercyclically, depending on the sectoral origin of the shocks that generate business cycles in the presence of wage rigidities, especially in the formal sector (Fiess, Fugazza, and Maloney 2010;Leyva and Urrutia 2020). Positive relative demand or productivity shocks to the non-tradable sector, especially services, where the share of informal employment tends to be higher could increase informal employment, generating procyclicality in informal employment, especially when combined with wage rigidities in the formal sector.…”
Section: Factors Influencing the Cyclicality Of The Informal Economymentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Similarly, it was shown that foreign interest rates are inversely and significantly related to formal job creation but insignificantly related to informal job creation and destruction, resulting in the countercyclicality of the share of informal employment(Leyva and Urrutia 2020).20 For discussions of these arguments, seeGuriev, Speciale, and Tuccio (2016),Loayza and Rigolini (2011), Maloney (2004), and Meghir, Narita, and Robin (2015.…”
mentioning
confidence: 99%