2011
DOI: 10.1111/j.1540-6261.2010.01644.x
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Institutional Trade Persistence and Long‐Term Equity Returns

Abstract: Recent studies show that single-quarter institutional herding positively predicts short-term returns. Motivated by the theoretical herding literature, which emphasizes endogenous persistence in decisions over time, we estimate the effect of multiquarter institutional buying and selling on stock returns. Using both regression and portfolio tests, we find that persistent institutional trading negatively predicts long-term returns: persistently sold stocks outperform persistently bought stocks at long horizons. T… Show more

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Cited by 185 publications
(115 citation statements)
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“…6;2013 Finally, regarding equity structures, analysts prefer firms owned mostly by institutional investors, which is consistent with the findings of Frankel et al (2006). However, regarding the institutional ownership change of a firm, analysts agree with the suggestions of Dasgupta et al (2011), who stated that stocks persistently bought by institutional investors over the final four quarters underperform those persistently sold by them. Therefore, if institutional investors increase (decrease) their holdings in one stock in the last quarter, analysts would herd to issue sell (buy) recommendations.…”
Section: Wwwccsenetorg/ijefsupporting
confidence: 79%
“…6;2013 Finally, regarding equity structures, analysts prefer firms owned mostly by institutional investors, which is consistent with the findings of Frankel et al (2006). However, regarding the institutional ownership change of a firm, analysts agree with the suggestions of Dasgupta et al (2011), who stated that stocks persistently bought by institutional investors over the final four quarters underperform those persistently sold by them. Therefore, if institutional investors increase (decrease) their holdings in one stock in the last quarter, analysts would herd to issue sell (buy) recommendations.…”
Section: Wwwccsenetorg/ijefsupporting
confidence: 79%
“…As individual investors are more or less active during nighttime to collect information/news or make decisions on stock selection, institutional investors have more frequent trades during daytime (Griffen, Harris, & Topaloglu, 2003;Dasgupta, Prat, & Verardo, 2011). Sias and Nofsinger (1999) document a strong correlation between change in investor ownership and stock return.…”
Section: Investor Heterogenetiymentioning
confidence: 99%
“…In other words, these stocks are held too long by their retail investors when their stock prices are declining. Finally, Dasgupta et al (2011) find that institutional stockholders tend to herd together when buying and selling, and that this herding behavior predicts short-term returns.…”
Section: Ownership Structure Literaturementioning
confidence: 95%