Integrated Multiple-Criteria Decision-Making Method to Prioritize Transportation Projects

Shelton, Jeffrey; Medina, Michael

doi:10.3141/2174-08

Cited by 41 publications

(24 citation statements)

References 12 publications

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“…The method, a linear scoring method, has been widely applied in transportation planning. (Saaty 1980;Shelton and Medina 2010) In the Bayesian Inference approach, the reasoning process is similar to the proposed approach. Given the reasoning map structure, probability values are assigned to each node and link, and these values are propagated along the links and the degree of achieving individual goals is determined.…”

Section: Traditional Approachesmentioning

confidence: 94%

Use of reasoning maps in evaluation of transport alternatives: inclusion of uncertainty and “I Don’t Know”: demonstration of a method

Kronprasert

Talvitie

2014

Transportation

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Selection of a transport alternative is usually a messy process. The traditional approaches consider the relationships as either deterministic or probabilistic, neither of which incorporates the degree of ignorance (i.e., ''I don't know'' opinion). Further, different stakeholders seek to justify their preferences with reasoning that suits their agenda. This paper proposes and demonstrates a method that evaluates the validity of the reasoning process and derives the degrees of belief that stated goals are achieved. The paper demonstrates a 'reasoning map' method for evaluating transport alternatives, where the analysts accept and employ the notion of ''I don't know'' about an issue. The reasoning map depicts the relational chains from the attributes of an action to the stated goals, and recognizes the notion of ''I don't know''. This paper uses the theory of evidence to account for ignorance; it calculates the propagation of uncertainties along the reasoning chains. The context chosen for this demonstration is the selection of a public transit mode, personal rapid transit, over Bus, in a commercial complex in Washington DC. The paper has a limited objective and is not a comprehensive evaluation of alternatives. It merely explains how to compute a numerical value for the strength of reasoning, how to deal with analyst's notion of ''I don't know,'' how to interpret the overall reliability of the reasoning process, how to measure the goal achievement of an alternative, and how to find the critical paths linking the planning options to goals. For use in planning practice, consultation of experts and affected citizens and aggregation of their views is needed to develop the reasoning maps.

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Section: Traditional Approachesmentioning

confidence: 94%

Use of reasoning maps in evaluation of transport alternatives: inclusion of uncertainty and “I Don’t Know”: demonstration of a method

Kronprasert

Talvitie

2014

Transportation

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“…finite or infinite), or the alternatives presented (e.g. prespecified preferences (possibilities) or interactive) [10]. The Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) is one of the most commonly used methods in the field of transportation and it is presented in a study by [11] and in various other papers [4,12].…”

Section: Multi-criteria Evaluation Methodsmentioning

confidence: 99%

The evaluation of alternative solutions for the highway route E-763 Belgrade – South Adriatic: a case study of Serbia

Marković

Marković²,

Mitrović

et al. 2017

Teh. vjesn.

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Preliminary communicationDesigning road projects involves a complex decision-making process whose objectives should be the implementation of the road design and its utilization in the narrowest sense, but also the facilitation of mobility, economic development of the area and improvement of the quality of life in a wider sense. All of this requires the consideration and understanding of many problems multi-criterial in nature, and decision making with regard to technical components, environmental constraints and the impact on society. The main goal of this paper is to use a real example to explain the role and significance of multicriteria evaluation methods. The theoretical postulates of multi-criteria evaluation are presented (VIKOR method). Using multi-criteria evaluation methods ranking was carried out of the alternative solutions offered for the E-763 highway route Belgrade-South Adriatic (Požega-Boljare section). Ranking was carried out on the basis of 12 criteria which form the basis for evaluating each of the alternative solutions. The calculation was performed using the VIKOR program packages and an analysis of the results obtained was carried out. Keywords: alternative solutions; criteria; highway route; multi-criteria evaluation; ranking; road design; VIKOR Vrednovanje varijantnih rešenja trase autoputa E-763 Beograd -Južni Jadran: studija slučaja u SrbijiPrethodno priopćenje Projektiranje putova predstavlja složen proces donošenja odluka čiji osnovni cilj treba biti realizacija projekta puta i njegova eksploatacija u užem smislu, ali i omogućavanje mobilnosti, privrednog razvoja područja i poboljšanje kvaliteta života u širem smislu. Sve ovo zahtjeva sagledavanje i razumijevanje mnogih problema koji su višekriterijske prirode i donošenje odluka u vezi sa tehničkim komponentama, ograničenjima okruženja i utjecajima na društvo. Osnovni cilj rada je da se na realnom primjeru objasni uloga i značaj metoda višekriterijskog vrednovanja. Prezentirane su teorijske postavke višekriterijskog vrednovanja. Primjenom metode višekriterijskog vrednovanja (metoda VIKOR) izvršeno je rangiranje ponuđenih alternativnih rešenja trase autoputa E-763 Beograd-Južni Jadran (dionica Požega-Boljare). Rangiranje je izvršeno na osnovu 12 kriterija koji čine osnovu vrednovanja svakog alternativnog rešenja. Proračun je izveden primjenom programskog paketa VIKOR i izvršena je analiza dobivenih rezultata.

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“…An agent-based model was developed to analyse location of inland ports and hubs in Australia (Sirikijpanichkul et al 2007). AHP was used to prioritise transport projects (Shelton and Medina 2009), to select railway station site in Iran (Mohajeri and Amin 2010). Sipahi and Timor (2010) have extensively reviewed the application of AHP in the research and transport sectors.…”

Section: Location Problemmentioning

confidence: 99%

Location analysis of logistics centres in Laos

Regmi

Hanaoka

2013

International Journal of Logistics Research and Applications

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There have been many efforts to improve intermodal transport connectivity in South-East Asia. Strategic location of logistics centres can facilitate transportation, handling, storage and transshipment of goods moving in international trade. This paper considers various evaluation criteria for location analysis of logistics centres. The paper utilises the analytic hierarchy process and goal programming methodologies to analyse location of logistics centres in Laos, which aims to transform itself into a land-linked country from a land-locked country. Location models are developed based on primary data collected from public and private sector transport stakeholders. The results show similarity in final priority ranking of planned logistics centres. Also, the outcomes of both methodologies are consistent. However, some differences on the weights of the evaluation criteria were noted for the public sector, private sector and combined models. Finally, some policy considerations are offered for development of logistics centres and seamless flow of intermodal freight transport.

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Integrated Multiple-Criteria Decision-Making Method to Prioritize Transportation Projects

Cited by 41 publications

References 12 publications

Use of reasoning maps in evaluation of transport alternatives: inclusion of uncertainty and “I Don’t Know”: demonstration of a method

Use of reasoning maps in evaluation of transport alternatives: inclusion of uncertainty and “I Don’t Know”: demonstration of a method

The evaluation of alternative solutions for the highway route E-763 Belgrade – South Adriatic: a case study of Serbia

Location analysis of logistics centres in Laos

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