Abstract:Recent research on integrated econometric+input-output modeling for regional economies is reviewed. The motivations for and the alternative methodological approaches to this type of analysis are examined. Particular attention is given to the issues arising from multiregional linkages and spatial effects in the implementation of these frameworks at the sub-national scale. The linkages between integrated modeling and spatial econometrics are outlined. Directions for future research on integrated econometric and … Show more
“…The integration offers improved forecasting accuracy and inter-industry analysis with dynamics. Characteristics of the REIM are described in greater detail in West (1995) and Rey (2000).…”
Section: The Regional Econometric Input-output Modelmentioning
This paper proposes an extension to the regional econometric input-output model (REIM) [Conway, R.S. (1990) The Washington Projection and Simulation Model: A Regional Interindustry Econometric Model. International We integrate a demand system with age and income parameters into the REIM. The extended model thus addresses concerns about the effects of household heterogeneity. The initial testing is conducted with a model for the Chicago metropolitan area. First, using aggregate expenditure data by income and age groups, the almost ideal demand system with group fixed effects is constructed. Next, the estimated demand system is linked to the REIM to reflect long-term changes in the age and income distribution of households. The longrange simulation from the extended model takes into account structural changes in expenditure type stemming from changing demographic composition. The extended model further broadens the scope of impact analysis under various scenarios associated with age and income changes.
“…The integration offers improved forecasting accuracy and inter-industry analysis with dynamics. Characteristics of the REIM are described in greater detail in West (1995) and Rey (2000).…”
Section: The Regional Econometric Input-output Modelmentioning
This paper proposes an extension to the regional econometric input-output model (REIM) [Conway, R.S. (1990) The Washington Projection and Simulation Model: A Regional Interindustry Econometric Model. International We integrate a demand system with age and income parameters into the REIM. The extended model thus addresses concerns about the effects of household heterogeneity. The initial testing is conducted with a model for the Chicago metropolitan area. First, using aggregate expenditure data by income and age groups, the almost ideal demand system with group fixed effects is constructed. Next, the estimated demand system is linked to the REIM to reflect long-term changes in the age and income distribution of households. The longrange simulation from the extended model takes into account structural changes in expenditure type stemming from changing demographic composition. The extended model further broadens the scope of impact analysis under various scenarios associated with age and income changes.
“…To include these additional factors conjoined econometric/IO, models have been developed. Rey (2000) and Shields (2006) showed the conjoined econometric/IO model provides several advantages over IO or SAM models and sophisticated econometric models. As noted in Shaffer et al (2004) the use of the simple Keynesian system of economic accounts has provided the theoretical foundation for a wealth of statistically (econometric) derived models of national and state economies.…”
“…The linkages among industries in an economy are generally non-linear (West, 1995). In addition, the static nature of the I-O model prevents it from capturing changes over time, such as those due to changes in technology (Rey, 2000). Finally, the model assumes that supplies to the production process, such as labor, are unlimited (West, 1995).…”
Section: Assumptions Of Spatial Analysis and Economic Impact Analysismentioning
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