Integrated remote sensing and machine learning tools for estimating ecological flow regimes in tropical river reaches

River water surface extent can be extracted from optical and radar satellite images; this is useful for estimating streamflow from space. The radiation characteristics of open water from the visible and microwave bands are different and provide independent information. In this study, for the purpose of improving streamflow estimation from space for data-sparse regions, a method that combines satellite optical and radar images data for streamflow estimation using a machine learning technique was proposed. The method was demonstratedthrough a case study in the river segment upstream of the Ganzi gauging station on the Yalong River, China. Utilizing the support vector regression (SVR) model, the feasibility of different combinations of water surface area derived from Sentinel-1 synthetic aperture radar images (AREA_SAR), modified normalized difference water index derived from Landsat 8 images (MNDWI), and reflectance ratios between NIR and SWIR channels derived from MODIS images (RNIR/RSWIR) for streamflow estimation were evaluated through three experiments. In Experiment I, three models using AREA_SAR (Model 1), MNDWI (Model 2), and a combination of AREA_SAR and MNDWI (Model 3) were built; the mean relative error (MRE) and mean absolute error (MAE) of streamflow estimates corresponding to the SVR model using both AREA_SAR and MNDWI (Model 3) were 0.19 and 31.6 m3/s for the testing dataset, respectively, and were lower than two models using AREA_SAR (Model 1) or MNDWI (Model 2) solely as inputs. In Experiment II, three models with AREA_SAR (Model 4), RNIR/RSWIR (Model 5), and a combination of AREA_SAR and RNIR/RSWIR (Model 6) as inputs were developed; the MRE and MAE for the model using AREA_SAR and RNIR/RSWIR (Model 6) were 0.25 and 56.5 m3/s, respectively, which outperformed the two models treating AREA_SAR (Model 4) or MNDWI (Model 5) as single types of inputs. In Experiment III, three models using AREA_SAR (Model 7), MNDWI, and RNIR/RSWIR (Model 8) and the combination of AREA_SAR, MNDWI and RNIR/RSWIR (Model 9) were built; combining all three types of satellite observations (Model 9) exhibited the highest accuracy, for which the MRE and MAE were 0.18 and 18.4 m3/s, respectively. The results of all three experiments demonstrated that integrating optical and microwave observations could improve the accuracy of streamflow estimates using a data-driven model; the proposed method has great potential for near-real-time estimations of flood magnitude or to reconstruct past variations in streamflow using historical satellite images in data-sparse regions.

Section: Experiments Designsupporting

confidence: 93%

Section: Experiments Designsupporting

confidence: 85%

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

See 1 more Smart Citation

Combining Satellite Optical and Radar Image Data for Streamflow Estimation Using a Machine Learning Method

Wang,

Sun,

et al. 2023

“…Due to the widespread reduction in hydrometric stations, remote sensing data are becoming increasingly popular for assessing the river discharge regimes [38]. In general, the use of satellite data increases the accuracy of calculation [39], reconstructing [40] and forecasting the volume of water discharge with a sufficiently high value of the Nash-Sutcliffe model coefficient of efficiency (NSE), such as in [41], where the value of NSE = 0.8 was achieved.…”

Section: Related Workmentioning

confidence: 99%

Estimation of the Water Level in the Ili River from Sentinel-2 Optical Data Using Ensemble Machine Learning

Mukhamediev,

Terekhov,

Sagatdinova

et al. 2023

Monitoring of the water level and river discharge is an important task, necessary both for assessment of water supply in the current season and for forecasting water consumption and possible prevention of catastrophic events. A network of ground hydrometric stations is used to measure the water level and consumption in rivers. Rivers located in sparsely populated areas in developing countries of Central Asia have a very limited hydrometric network. In addition to the sparse network of stations, in some cases remote probing data (virtual hydrometric stations) are used, which can improve the reliability of water level and discharge estimates, especially for large mountain rivers with large volumes of suspended sediment load and significant channel instability. The aim of this study is to develop a machine learning model for remote monitoring of water levels in the large transboundary (Kazakhstan-People’s Republic of China) Ili River. The optical data from the Sentinel-2 satellite are used as input data. The in situ (ground-based) data collected at the Ili-Dobyn gauging station are used as target values. Application of feature engineering and ensemble machine learning techniques has achieved good accuracy of water level estimation (Nash–Sutcliffe model efficiency coefficient (NSE) >0.8). The coefficient of determination of the model results obtained using cross-validation of random permutations is NSE = 0.89. The method demonstrates good stability under different variations of input data and ranges of water levels (NSE > 0.8). The average absolute error of the method ranges from 0.12 to 0.18 meters against the background of the maximum river water level spread of more than 4 meters. The obtained result is the best current result of water level prediction in the Ili River using the remote probing data and can be recommended for practical use for increasing the reliability of water level estimation and reverse engineering of data in the process of river discharge monitoring.

“…Spatiotemporal fusion models use two or more images to obtain fine spatial resolution images; thus, they can simultaneously improve spatial resolution and temporal coverage [15][16][17][18][19]. Wang et al [20] pointed out that the spatiotemporal fusion approach shows a better performance compared to the statistical downscaling method.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Improving the STARFM Fusion Method for Downscaling the SSEBOP Evapotranspiration Product from 1 km to 30 m in an Arid Area in China

Sun,

Wang,

Wang

et al. 2023

Continuous evapotranspiration (ET) data with high spatial resolution are crucial for water resources management in irrigated agricultural areas in arid regions. Many global ET products are available now but with a coarse spatial resolution. Spatial-temporal fusion methods, such as the spatial and temporal adaptive reflectance fusion model (STARFM), can help to downscale coarse spatial resolution ET products. In this paper, the STARFM model is improved by incorporating the temperature vegetation dryness index (TVDI) into the data fusion process, and we propose a spatial and temporal adaptive evapotranspiration downscaling method (STAEDM). The modified method STAEDM was applied to the 1 km SSEBOP ET product to derive a downscaled 30 m ET for irrigated agricultural fields of Northwest China. The STAEDM exhibits a significant improvement compared to the original STARFM method for downscaling SSEBOP ET on Landsat-unavailable dates, with an increase in the squared correlation coefficients (r2) from 0.68 to 0.77 and a decrease in the root mean square error (RMSE) from 10.28 mm/10 d to 8.48 mm/10 d. The ET based on the STAEDM additionally preserves more spatial details than STARFM for heterogeneous agricultural fields and can better capture the ET seasonal dynamics. The STAEDM ET can better capture the temporal variation of 10-day ET during the whole crop growing season than SSEBOP.