Intelligent forecasting of distribution system loads

Kermanshahi, B.; Yokoyama, Ryuichi; Takahashi, Keigo

doi:10.1109/melcon.1996.551332

Cited by 5 publications

(1 citation statement)

References 2 publications

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“…Numerous studies on reliability prediction have utilized neural networks. The scope of this research includes software reliability prediction (Karunanithi et al, 1991), communication networks (Kermanshahi et al, 1996) and component reliability (Mavoori and Chin, 1995). Compared with the ARIMA model, the neural network model analysis is more suitable for long term forecasting than for short term forecasting (Tang et al, 1991;Maier and Dandy, 1996).…”

Section: Neural Network and Reliability Predictionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Combining neural networks and genetic algorithms for predicting the reliability of repairable systems

Liang

2008

International Journal of Quality &Amp; Reliability Management

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Purpose -The purpose of this paper is to propose an accurate product reliability prediction model in order to enhance product quality and reduce product costs. Design/methodology/approach -This study proposes a new method for predicting the reliability of repairable systems. The novel method employed constructs a predictive model by integrating neural networks and genetic algorithms. Findings -The novel method employed constructs a predictive model by integrating neural networks and genetic algorithms. Genetic algorithms are used to globally optimize the number of neurons in the hidden layer, the learning rate and momentum of neural network architecture.Research limitations/implications -This study only adopts real failure data from an electronic system to verify the feasibility and effectiveness of the proposed method. Future research may use other product's failure data to verify the proposed method. The proposed method is superior to ARIMA and neural network model prediction techniques in the reliability of repairable systems. Practical implications -Based on the more accurate analytical results achieved by the proposed method, engineers or management authorities can take follow-up actions to ensure that products meet quality requirements, provide logistical support and correct product design. Originality/value -The proposed method is superior to other prediction techniques in predicting the reliability of repairable systems.

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Section: Neural Network and Reliability Predictionmentioning

confidence: 99%