Intelligent Hybrid Model to Enhance Time Series Models for Predicting Network Traffic

Abstract

Network traffic analysis and predictions have become vital for monitoring networks. Network prediction is the process of capturing network traffic and examining it deeply to decide what is the occurrence in the network. The accuracy of analysis and estimation of network traffic are increasingly becoming significant in achieving guaranteed Quality of Service (QoS) in the network. The main aim of the presented research is to propose a new methodology to improve network traffic prediction by using sequence mining. The significance of this important topic lies in the urge to contribute to solving the research problem in network traffic prediction intelligently. We propose an integrated model that combines clustering with existing series models to enhance prediction the network traffic. Clustering granules are obtained using fuzzy c-means to analyze the network data for improving the existing time series. The novelty of the proposed research has used the clustering approach to handle the ambiguity from the entire network data for enhancing the existing time series models. Furthermore, we have suggested using the weighted exponential smoothing model as preprocessing stages for increasing the reliability of the proposed model. In this research paper, machine intelligence proposed to predict network traffic. The machine intelligence is working as pre-processing for enhancing the existing time series models. The machine intelligence combines non-crisp Fuzzy-C-Means (FCM) clustering and the weight exponential method for improving deep learning Long Short-Time Memory(LSTM)and Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS)time series models. The ANFIS and LSMT time series models are applied to predict network traffic. Two real network traffic traces were conducted to test the proposed time series models. The empirical results of proposed to enhanced LSTM 97.95% and enhanced ANFIS model is R=96.78% for cellular traffic data, with respect to the correlation indicator. It is observed that the proposed model outperforms alternative time series models. A comparative prediction results between the proposed model and exis ting time series models are presented. The comparisons indicate that the presented model outperforms the opponent models; the proposed method optimises the deep learning LSTM and ANFIS time series models. The proposed methodology offers more effective approach to the prediction of network traffic.

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