Internal Wars In Developing Countries: An Empirical Overview of Economic and Social Consequences

Stewart, Frances; Huang, Cindy; Wang, Michael

doi:10.1093/acprof:oso/9780199241866.003.0004

Cited by 53 publications

(61 citation statements)

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“…Similarly, Collier (1999) estimates that during conflict periods countries' growth is approximately 2.2 percent lower than that obtained in peaceful times. Moreover, Stewart et al (2001) find that 15 out of 16 countries that have experienced an internal conflict within its borders suffered a decrease in their GDP per capita.…”

Section: Literature Reviewmentioning

confidence: 99%

Firm Exit and Armed Conflict in Colombia

Camacho

Rodríguez

2012

Journal of Conflict Resolution

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This paper uses two unique panel data sets to study the causal effect that armed conflict has over entrepreneurial activity in Colombia. Using a fixed effect estimation methodology at the plant level and controlling for the possible endogeneity of armed conflict through the use of instrumental variables, we find that a one standard deviation in the number of guerrilla and paramilitary attacks in a municipality increases the probability of firm exit in 8.1 percentage points. This effect is stronger for smaller plants and has a differential impact with respect to firms' age.

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Section: Literature Reviewmentioning

confidence: 99%

Firm Exit and Armed Conflict in Colombia

Camacho

Rodríguez

2012

Journal of Conflict Resolution

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“…The disaggregation shows that the output of the primary and secondary sectors declines by around ten percent, export revenues decrease by up to thirty percent, the fiscal deficit goes up by five percentage points of GDP and the annual inflation rate increases by thirteen percentage points. However, it is noteworthy that other studies yield entirely different results, varying between 0.08 billion US$ (Stewart et al, 2001) and 1. Another worthwhile contribution comes from Nordhaus (2002) who uses both accounting and counterfactuals when looking (ex ante) at the potential costs of a war in Iraq.…”

Section: <Figure 1 Approximately Here>mentioning

confidence: 84%

How Many Bucks in a Bang: On the Estimation of the Economic Costs of Conflict

Brück¹,

Groot²,

Bozzoli³

2012

Oxford Handbooks Online

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Standard-Nutzungsbedingungen:Die Dokumente auf EconStor dürfen zu eigenen wissenschaftlichen Zwecken und zum Privatgebrauch gespeichert und kopiert werden.Sie dürfen die Dokumente nicht für öffentliche oder kommerzielle Zwecke vervielfältigen, öffentlich ausstellen, öffentlich zugänglich machen, vertreiben oder anderweitig nutzen.Sofern die Verfasser die Dokumente unter Open-Content-Lizenzen (insbesondere CC-Lizenzen) zur Verfügung gestellt haben sollten, gelten abweichend von diesen Nutzungsbedingungen die in der dort genannten Lizenz gewährten Nutzungsrechte.

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“…This has been the case, for example, in Sri Lanka and Uganda for over a decade (Stewart and Fitzgerald 2001a), Nepal in the recent insurgency period (World Bank 2006), and in Guatemala in the 1980s and 1990s (Stewart, Huang and Wang 2001). But the majority of wars lead to deterioration and increased poverty.…”

Section: War Undermines Developmentmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…But the majority of wars lead to deterioration and increased poverty. A detailed empirical review of 18 countries by Stewart, Huang and Wang (2001) finds that per capita income fell in 15 of them, food production in 13, export growth declined in 12, and that debt increased in all 18.…”

Section: War Undermines Developmentmentioning

confidence: 99%

Rethinking the Policy Objectives of Development Aid: From Economic Growth to Conflict Prevention

Fukuda‐Parr

2007

SSRN Journal

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The current consensus objective of development aid in the international community is to reduce poverty in general and to achieve the Millennium Development Goals (MDGs) in particular. In addition, the dominant view identifies economic growth as the principal means to this end. But the policy objective of aid can be defined in many ways, and has in fact varied over time with shifting priorities within the international community about the ultimate ends of development and the means for advancing those ends. This paper argues that more attention should be given to conflict prevention as a policy objective of development aid and explores the implications of doing so for aid programme priorities and the international aid architecture in general. The paper shows that violent conflict is a major obstacle to achieving the MDGs; it identifies 64 worst performing countries and finds that the majority have experienced violent internal conflict, and/or are vulnerable because of the socioeconomic correlates of internal war. The paper then argues that development policy priorities and their support with aid can be deployed to reduce these risks. Conflict prevention is thus an important policy objective as a means to achieving MDGs as well as an end itself since security from violence is an essential aspect of human wellbeing and human security. Integrating this policy objective would imply adjustments that would need to be made in aid architecture.

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Internal Wars In Developing Countries: An Empirical Overview of Economic and Social Consequences

Cited by 53 publications

References 0 publications

Firm Exit and Armed Conflict in Colombia

Firm Exit and Armed Conflict in Colombia

How Many Bucks in a Bang: On the Estimation of the Economic Costs of Conflict

Rethinking the Policy Objectives of Development Aid: From Economic Growth to Conflict Prevention

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