International Remittances, Human Resources Outflow & Economic Growth: Dynamic Regression Models

Abstract

The article presents an econometric analysis of the impact and elasticity of human resources outflow and remittance with economic growth in Ukraine. It is proved that remittance (1) has a direct relationship with economic activity rate, (2) a cyclical and multiplicative relationship with the inflationary process, and (3) an indirect effect on capital investment. It has been established that migration favorably affects the financial well-being of households and is an effective measure for accumulating investment capital and savings. The trigger for economic growth in the vector of ‘migration – remittance’ is the development of the migration capital market by increasing the investment capacity of remittance’, ensuring the target remittance orientation to the small and medium-sized business sector, guaranteeing market stability (security of remittance) and developing financial inclusion.