The notion of intervening early in a disease process to prevent onset, halt progression, decrease illness burden, and improve quality of life is a quintessential tenet of medical treatment. However, in contrast to other specialties such as oncology, early intervention is a relatively new focus in psychiatry. Until a decade ago, the focus was on effective acute treatment in adult patients with established illness. The timely review by Malhi 1 provides an insightful appraisal of the relevant literature pertaining to early intervention in bipolar disorder.The article cautions that further advances should be based on rigorous evidence rather than on good intentions and what appear on the surface to be reasonable extrapolations from other psychiatric and medical illnesses. As discussed, major obstacles to advancing early intervention include heterogeneity, different emergent illness trajectories across subtypes, and lack of diagnostic precision-especially early in the course.However, despite the challenges, there have been strides forward.In addressing heterogeneity, for example, an excellent response to long-term lithium prophylaxis has been key to identifying a more homogenous illness subtype characterized by an episodic course, good quality of remission, specific genetic and neurobiological findings, and a characteristic spectrum of illness segregating in family members representing the phenotype (ie episodic major depression, and bipolar I and II). Moreover, studies of the children of lithium-responsive and non-responsive bipolar parents demonstrate significant differences in the emergent illness course, further validating that they belong to distinctly different bipolar subtypes. 2The characterization of reliable illness trajectories in homogeneous high-risk subgroups is a fundamental and necessary step towards identifying specific prevention and early intervention targets.Once the clinical trajectory of developing bipolar disorder is charted for valid subtypes, intensive study of candidate biomarkers and genetically sensitive psychosocial risk processes can be mapped. As pointed out by Malhi 1 , until this necessary groundwork is complete and replicated, the appropriateness and development of a staging framework, akin to that in oncology, seems premature-and should be based on evidence of emergent bipolar disorder rather than generalized from studies of early-onset psychosis.The lack of precision in the bipolar diagnosis presents an obstacle for effective early intervention. For instance, evidence supports substantial instability of the diagnosis in first episode manic patients followed up a decade later, a lack of predictive significance of manic-like symptoms in adolescents, and nonspecific antecedent psychopathology characterizing the emergent course. Reliance solely on symptoms is a major contributor to the lack of diagnostic precision. Symptoms considered alone, without context or additional information about development, family history, and clinical course, are simply an insufficient evidential base on whi...