Background and Purpose
Our aim was to estimate the cost-effectiveness of transferring patients with intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) from centers without specialized neurological intensive care units (Neuro-ICUs) to centers with Neuro-ICUs.
Methods
Decision analytic models were developed for the lifetime horizons. Model inputs were derived from the best available data, informed by a variety of prior cost-effectiveness models of stroke. The effect of Neuro-ICU care on functional outcomes was modeled in 3 scenarios. A favorable outcomes scenario was modeled based on the best observational data and compared to moderately favorable and least-favorable outcomes scenarios. Health benefits were measured in quality adjusted life years (QALYs) and costs were estimated from a societal perspective. Costs were combined with QALYs gained to generate incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs). One-way sensitivity analysis and Monte Carlo simulations were performed to test robustness of the model assumptions.
Results
Transferring patients to centers with Neuro-ICUs yielded an ICER for the lifetime horizon of $47,431/QALY, $91,674/QALY and $380,358/QALY for favorable, moderately favorable, and least-favorable scenarios, respectively. Models were robust at a willingness-to-pay threshold of $100,000/QALY, with 95.5%, 75.0%, and 2.1% of simulations below the threshold for favorable, moderately favorable, and least-favorable scenarios, respectively.
Conclusions
Transferring ICH patients to centers with specialized Neuro-ICUs is cost-effective if observational estimates of the Neuro-ICU based functional outcome distribution are accurate. If future work confirms these functional outcome distributions, then a strong societal rationale exists to build systems of care designed to transfer ICH patients to specialized Neuro-ICUs.