The three principal New Madrid, central U.S., mainshocks of 1811-1812 were followed by extensive aftershock sequences that included numerous felt events. Although no instrumental data are available for the sequence, historical accounts provide information that can be used to estimate magnitudes and locations for the large aftershocks as well as the mainshocks. Several detailed eyewitness accounts of the sequence provide sufficient information to identify times and rough magnitude estimates for a number of aftershocks that have not been analyzed previously. I also use three extended compilations of felt events to explore the overall sequence productivity. Although one generally cannot estimate magnitudes or locations for individual events, the intensity distributions of recent, instrumentally recorded earthquakes in the region provide a basis for estimation of the magnitude distribution of 1811-1812 aftershocks. The distribution is consistent with a b-value distribution. I estimate Mw 6-6.3 for the three largest identifiable aftershocks, apart from the so-called dawn aftershock on 16 December 1811.
INTRODUCTIONThe 1811-1812 New Madrid earthquake sequence included three well-documented mainshocks that have been described and analyzed in considerable detail (e.g., Mitchill 1815;Fuller 1912;Nuttli 1973;Penick 1981;Street 1982Street , 1984Johnston 1996b;Hough et al. 2000;Bakun and Hopper 2004a). The three principal mainshocks occurred at approximately 02:15 local time (LT) on 16 December 1811; around 07:15 LT on 23 January 1812, and approximately 03:00 LT on 7 February 1812 (henceforth NM1, NM2, and NM3, respectively). The so-called dawn aftershock on 16 December 1811 was also widely felt (e.g., Johnston 1996b; Hough et al. 2000). The magnitude estimates of the four principal events-i.e., the three mainshocks and the dawn aftershock-have been the subject of considerable debate, with published Mw estimates ranging from ~7 to >8 (e.g., Nuttli 1973;Johnston 1996b; Hough et al. 2000, Bakun andHopper 2004a).Each of the three mainshocks was followed by an energetic aftershock sequence. The aftershocks are not included in the National Center for Earthquake Engineering Research (NCEER) catalog of historical central/eastern U.S. earthquakes (Armbruster and Seeber 1992). Nor are aftershocks included in a more recent study (Bakun and Hopper 2004b), which presents locations and magnitudes for moderate historical earthquakes in the eastern/central U.S. but does not include any events prior to 1827.A number of eyewitness accounts from the New Madrid region document the unrest without providing much if any detail about individual events. Two eyewitnesses, Daniel Drake in Cincinnati, Ohio, and Jared Brooks in Louisville, Kentucky, kept detailed records of felt events, in both cases ranked by perceived relative severity of shaking. Drake's accounts were included as an appendix to a book published in 1815 (Drake 1815); Brooks's accounts were published posthumously (McMurtrie 1819). An additional account from the settlement of...