Invasive potential of golden and zebra mussels in present and future climatic scenarios in the new world

Aquatic invasive species: introduction to the Special Issue and dynamics of public interest

“…The review by Bolpagni (2021) shows that eutrophication and hydromorphological alterations affect the success of several species of invasive aquatic plants. Ecological niche models demonstrated that climate change may increase habitat availability for golden mussel in the New World (Petsch et al, 2021). High-nutrient substrates and water level fluctuations, a common problem in managed lakes and reservoirs, increased biomass accumulation in invasive parrot feather milfoil (Myriophyllum aquaticum (Vell.)…”

Golden mussel (Limnoperna fortunei) survival during winter at the northern invasion front implies a potential high‐latitude distribution

“…Preventing invasions is more cost‐effective than post‐invasion management, but this requires detailed knowledge of introduction pathways and environmental tolerance (Kramer et al., 2017; Reaser et al., 2020; Xia, Johansson, et al., 2018). Aside from dispersal constraints, local environmental conditions often serve as key barriers to establishment of newly introduced non‐indigenous species (NIS), with highest success occurring in areas that exhibit environmental similarity with native habitats (Kramer et al., 2017; Petsch et al., 2020). For example, temperature is directly linked to species survival and physiological performance (Karanova & Gakhova, 2007), and represents a critical factor constraining potential distribution for a wide variety of invasive species including fish (Van Zuiden et al., 2016), aquatic invertebrates (Churchill et al., 2017; Zhao et al., 2019) and terrestrial insects (Formby et al., 2018).…”

“…The potential distribution of a NIS can be estimated through knowledge of its dispersal vectors and environmental tolerance (Kramer et al., 2017; McGarvey et al., 2018; Petsch et al., 2020). Species distribution modelling, which combines occurrence records and associated environmental variables, represents a valuable method by which to identify ranges with suitable environmental conditions (e.g.…”

“…Recently, poleward expansion of this species—from either native or invasive ranges—has raised increasing concerns, especially under a scenario of global warming combined with the emergence of new introduction pathways (e.g. new international shipping routes and inland water diversion projects) (Kramer et al., 2017; Mackie & Brinsmead, 2017; Petsch et al., 2020; Xia et al., 2020; Zhan et al., 2015). As an example, the recently opened South to North Water Diversion Project will likely facilitate the dispersal of the species to northern from southern China because the source reservoir is inhabited by the species (Xia, Zhan, et al., 2018; Zhan et al., 2015; Zhao et al., 2019).…”

“…Several recent studies have attempted to predict environmentally suitable range for the golden mussel, particularly in mid‐latitude areas like the North American Mississippi River systems and Laurentian Great Lakes region, by directly comparing agreement of thermal conditions between present and possible target areas (Mackie & Brinsmead, 2017; Oliveira et al., 2010) or by conducting species distribution modelling (Campos et al., 2014; Kramer et al., 2017; Petsch et al., 2020). These efforts contribute to our understanding of the potential distribution of the species; however, occurrence records considered in these studies were highly concentrated in South America and Southern China, where low water temperature was highly unlikely to serve as a limiting factor for the species.…”