Abstract. This paper describes an updated configuration of the regional coupled
research system, termed UKC3, developed and evaluated under the UK
Environmental Prediction collaboration. This represents a further step
towards a vision of simulating the numerous interactions and feedbacks
between different physical and biogeochemical components of the environment
across sky, sea and land using more integrated regional coupled prediction
systems at kilometre-scale resolution. The UKC3 coupled system incorporates
models of the atmosphere (Met Office Unified Model), land surface with river
routing (JULES), shelf-sea ocean (NEMO) and ocean surface waves (WAVEWATCH
III®), coupled together using OASIS3-MCT
libraries. The major update introduced since the UKC2 configuration is an
explicit representation of wave–ocean feedbacks through introduction of
wave-to-ocean coupling. Ocean model results demonstrate that wave coupling,
in particular representing the wave-modified surface drag, has a small but
positive improvement on the agreement between simulated sea surface
temperatures and in situ observations, relative to simulations without wave
feedbacks. Other incremental developments to the coupled modelling capability
introduced since the UKC2 configuration are also detailed. Coupled regional prediction systems are of interest for applications across
a range of timescales, from hours to decades ahead. The first results from
four simulation experiments, each of the order of 1 month in duration, are
analysed and discussed in the context of characterizing the potential
benefits of coupled prediction on forecast skill. Results across atmosphere,
ocean and wave components are shown to be stable over time periods of weeks.
The coupled approach shows notable improvements in surface temperature, wave
state (in near-coastal regions) and wind speed over the sea, whereas the
prediction quality of other quantities shows no significant improvement or
degradation relative to the equivalent uncoupled control simulations.