2011
DOI: 10.1111/j.1467-6451.2011.00447.x
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Investment Options and Bargaining Power: The Eurasian Supply Chain for Natural Gas*

Abstract: We use cooperative game theory to analyze the power structure in the pipeline network for Russian gas. If the assessment is narrowly focused on the abilities to obstruct flows in the existing system, the main transit countries, Belarus and Ukraine, appear to be strong. Once investment options are accounted for, Russia achieves clear dominance. Competition between transit countries is of little strategic relevance compared to Russia's direct access to its customers. Comparing our theoretical results with empiri… Show more

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Cited by 75 publications
(45 citation statements)
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“…Nord Stream's total strategic value for the initiators of the consortium, Wintershall and EON Ruhrgas of Germany and Gazprom of Russia (in our model Center and Russia), is huge. A gain of 4.5 percentage points translates into a gain of 7.6 bn e/a, which clearly exceeds the project's cost of 1.8 bn e/a (for similar results see Hubert & Ikonnikova (2003), Hubert & Ikonnikova (2011a), Hubert & Suleymanova (2008)). It is worth stressing that the project is profitable only because it increases the bargaining power of the consortium vis-a-vis other players.…”
Section: Nord Streammentioning
confidence: 73%
“…Nord Stream's total strategic value for the initiators of the consortium, Wintershall and EON Ruhrgas of Germany and Gazprom of Russia (in our model Center and Russia), is huge. A gain of 4.5 percentage points translates into a gain of 7.6 bn e/a, which clearly exceeds the project's cost of 1.8 bn e/a (for similar results see Hubert & Ikonnikova (2003), Hubert & Ikonnikova (2011a), Hubert & Suleymanova (2008)). It is worth stressing that the project is profitable only because it increases the bargaining power of the consortium vis-a-vis other players.…”
Section: Nord Streammentioning
confidence: 73%
“…It has been applied to natural gas by e.g. Hubert and Ikonnikova (2009) and Ikonnikova and Zwart (2010), and to CO 2 emissions by e.g. Albrecht et al (2002).…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…2 Hubert and Ikonnikova (2011) analyzed the strategic value of a adding the Russian pipeline North Stream.…”
Section: The European Natural Gas Industry and Modelsmentioning
confidence: 99%