2021
DOI: 10.46557/001c.18642
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Investor Sentiment and Volatility Prediction of Currencies and Commodities During the COVID-19 Pandemic

Abstract: In this note, we examine whether the volatility predictive power of investor sentiment for currencies and commodities is sensitive to the COVID-19 pandemic. The Credit Suisse Fear Barometer (CSFB) and the VIX are used to measure investor sentiment. The volatility of seven major currencies, gold, and oil is investigated. Using daily data from 2005 to 2020, we show that VIX is a better predictor than CSFB. However, they have no predictive power during the COVID-19 pandemic period. This may be attributed to the d… Show more

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Cited by 27 publications
(15 citation statements)
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“…The findings might not be generalized for every uncertain situation, as the Covid-19 is an event that has not occurred before (Caggiano et al 2020 ). This high uncertainty and fear would have led to a high level of bias among the investors (Hoang and Syed 2021 ).…”
Section: Conclusion and Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…The findings might not be generalized for every uncertain situation, as the Covid-19 is an event that has not occurred before (Caggiano et al 2020 ). This high uncertainty and fear would have led to a high level of bias among the investors (Hoang and Syed 2021 ).…”
Section: Conclusion and Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…The questionnaire will be administered to 50% of the entire population. The questionnaire entails the main question that provided the data for the verification of the hypothesis 12 . The collected data will be analyzed using the linear regression equation.…”
Section: Questionnairementioning
confidence: 99%
“…Researchers have already explored the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on the economy (e.g., Liu et al 2020;Padhan and Prabheesh 2021;Yagi and Managi 2021), policy responses (Gungoraydinoglu et al 2021;Makin and Layton 2021;Zaremba et al 2020), and society and policies in general (Tisdell 2020;Park and Chung 2021). With respect to financial markets, Bing and Ma (2021) categorize the large and growing body of literature across four groups, namely the impacts of COVID-19 on (a) firm and industry performances (e.g., Gu et al 2020;Qin et al 2020;Xiong et al 2020;Xu et al 2020); (b) stock return volatility (e.g., Al-Awadhi et al 2020;Dai et al 2021;Liu et al 2021); (c) fear sentiments (e.g., Baig et al 2020;Hoang and Syed 2021;Ortmann et al 2020); and (d) risk contagion (e.g., Corbet et al 2020Corbet et al , 2021Jiang et al 2020).…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%