2010
DOI: 10.1080/10803921003697542
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Iran's Threat to the Strait of Hormuz: A Realist Assessment

Abstract: The Strait of Hormuz is arguably the most strategically significant transit chokepoint in the world with about one-fifth of global oil consumption passing through each day. Yet there are concerns fanned by provocative Iranian statements and actions that the narrow waterway may be blocked by Tehran either in order to increase its leverage in negotiations over the regime's nuclear ambitions or in retaliation for any military action against its nuclear facilities. The spike in petroleum prices resulting from such… Show more

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Cited by 5 publications
(3 citation statements)
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“…South Korea did not try exploiting its peculiar relationship with Iran as leverage on North Korea. This was the modus operandi of their growing commercial partnership even though in that period, the ROK’s investments in Iran proved to be very crucial as many Japanese and European businesses were abandoning their Iran projects in the wake of some US sanctions acts (Pham, 2010).…”
Section: Cold Politics Gets Colder After a Brief Warm-upmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…South Korea did not try exploiting its peculiar relationship with Iran as leverage on North Korea. This was the modus operandi of their growing commercial partnership even though in that period, the ROK’s investments in Iran proved to be very crucial as many Japanese and European businesses were abandoning their Iran projects in the wake of some US sanctions acts (Pham, 2010).…”
Section: Cold Politics Gets Colder After a Brief Warm-upmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…The Strait of Hormuz is one of the world's most essential and strategic transit points and trade routes. passing daily (Pham 2010).…”
Section: The Strategic Functions Of the Strait Of Hormuzmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Many of her assumptions regarding Iranian capabilities were subsequently disputed as giving the Iranians too much credit, but the disputer did not rule out completely the capability of Iran to threaten the Strait [28]. More recent (though less detailed) analyses have cited the ability of modern supertankers to withstand both mine strikes and ASCMs [29], as well as the operational challenges of attempting to covertly mine the entire navigable channel of the Strait [30], to argue that Iran's capabilities are not enough to close it and its threats to do so are nothing more than an information campaign [31], claiming this threat is "not cause for alarm" [29] and that the "world can afford to relax from its current hair-trigger alert" [30]. Clearly, because there is still dispute among analysts on this point, perhaps the best arbiter is oil prices themselves.…”
Section: !mentioning
confidence: 99%