“…However, these may be offset to an extent by increased stratification of the upper ocean linked to a weakening overturning circulation, which could lead to a reduction in iron delivery from underlying waters (Tagliabue et al, 2009;Rintoul, 2018), and the ongoing declines in sea ice, which can store iron (Lannuzel et al, 2016). Changes in iron speciation, solubility, scavenging, internal cycling and remineralizationas well as phytoplankton dynamics, iron requirements and the impacts of ocean acidification-further complicate the net effect of climate and environmental changes on iron availability to phytoplankton blooms (e.g., Planquette et al, 2013;Blain and Tagliabue, 2016;Hutchins and Boyd, 2016;Andrew et al, 2019). Nevertheless, there is good agreement amongst CMIP5 models that Southern Ocean NPP will increase overall as a result of increased iron supply, changes in mixed layer depth, declining sea ice cover, increasing SST and altered westerly winds (Bopp et al, 2013;Leung et al, 2015;Fu et al, 2016;Moore et al, 2018).…”