Is Brazil going to achieve the road traffic deaths target? An analysis about the sustainable development goals

Blumenberg, Cauane; Martins, Rafaela Costa; Costa, Janaína Calu; Ricardo, Luiza Isnardi Cardoso

doi:10.1136/injuryprev-2017-042473

Cited by 20 publications

(19 citation statements)

References 19 publications

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“…Our study is similar to other studies showing that increased GNI reduces pedestrian death rate [8,23]. Nevertheless, this was not consistent through the whole decade.…”

Section: Discussionsupporting

confidence: 58%

Reduction of pedestrian death rates: a missed global target

2020

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Background: The UN Decade of Action for Road Safety aimed to reduce road traffic deaths by half by year 2020. We aimed to study risk factors affecting global pedestrian death rates overtime, and whether the defined target of its reduction by WHO has been achieved. Methods: The studied variables were retrieved from the WHO Global Status Reports on Road Safety published over 2010-2018. These covered years 2007-2016 and included the estimated road traffic death rates per 100,000 population, policies to promote walking and cycling, enforcement levels of national speed limits, the gross national income per capita and the vehicle/person ratio in each country. A mixed linear model was performed to define the factors affecting the change of pedestrian death rates overtime. Results: Global pedestrian mortality decreased by 28% over 10 years. This was significant between years 2007 and 2010 (p = 0.034), between years 2013 and 2016 (p = 0.002) but not between 2010 and 2013 (p = 0.06). Factors that reduced pedestrian death rates included time (p < 0.0001), GNI (p < 0.0001), and vehicle/person ratio (p < 0.0001). There was a significant drop overtime in both the middle-income, and high-income countries (p < 0.0001, Friedman test), but not in the low-income countries (p = 0.35, Friedman test). Conclusions: Global pedestrian mortality has dropped by 28% over a recent decade, which is less than the 50% targeted reduction. This was mainly driven by improved GNI and using more vehicles. The economical gap between poor and rich countries has a major impact on pedestrian death rates.

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“…Our study is similar to other studies showing that increased GNI reduces pedestrian death rate [8,23]. Nevertheless, this was not consistent through the whole decade.…”

Section: Discussionsupporting

confidence: 58%

Reduction of pedestrian death rates: a missed global target

2020

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“…Brazil participates in this international initiative, denominated in the country as Projeto Vida no Trânsito (PVT, Life in Traffic Project) 6 . Although this project has committed to road safety, TAs still produce an alarming level of fatal and non-fatal victims in the country, casting doubt on its capacity to meet the targets set to address this problem 7 . According to the Ministry of Health, traffic accidents caused the death of 38,651 people 8 in 2015 and generated approximately 158,000 hospitalizations in hospitals of the Unified Health System 9 .…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Fatores associados a acidentes de trânsito entre condutores de veículos: achados de um estudo de base populacional

Rios

Mota

Ferreira

et al. 2020

Ciênc. saúde coletiva

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Resumo O estudo teve por objetivo identificar fatores associados ao envolvimento em acidentes de trânsito (AT) entre condutores de veículos. Para isso, realizou-se inquérito domiciliar na cidade de Jequié, Bahia, em 2013, com 1.406 condutores. Elaborou-se um modelo conceitual hierarquizado composto por quatro blocos de fatores de exposição, considerando as relações proximais-distais entre estes e o desfecho. Foi empregado modelo de regressão logística multinível para as estimativas de Razão de Chances (RC) e Intervalos de Confiança a 95% (IC95%). Observou-se maior chance de AT entre condutores de 15 a 29 anos (RC=3,15; IC95% 1,24-8,02); de cor da pele preta ou parda (RC=1,56; IC95% 1,03-2,35); motociclistas (RC=1,73; IC95% 1,15-2,60); com antecedentes de multa no trânsito (RC=1,75; IC95% 1,04-2,94); que referiram beber e dirigir (RC=1,68; IC95% 1,12-2,53) e usar telefone celular durante a condução (RC=1,63; IC95% 1,09-2,43). Os fatores proximais modificaram as medidas de associação das exposições dos níveis superiores do modelo hierarquizado, principalmente da variável sexo. Os resultados enfatizam os fatores comportamentais e ratificam o potencial de prevenção dos AT, em virtude da ocorrência de condições evitáveis associadas ao desfecho.

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“…In 2009, road traffic deaths accounted for about 70,000 premature deaths in China and road traffic accidents disproportionately affected the following populations: males, persons 21–65 years old, adults aged more than 65 years, persons living in rural areas, pedestrians, passengers, motorcyclists and bicyclists (Zhang et al, 2013). Rapid economic growth and intensive motorization accompanied rising rates of traffic fatalities (Blumenberg et al, 2017; Feng et al, 2014), and one of the main factors contributing to traffic fatalities is the growing number of motor vehicle. It is estimated that about 55 thousand new motor vehicles are registered in China every day.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Road traffic injuries in China from 2007 to 2016: the epidemiological characteristics, trends and influencing factors

Wang

Nie

et al. 2019

PeerJ

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Background Road traffic accidents are one of the serious disasters that cause public injury, fatality and great economic loss. They are a growing public health problem around the world. Objectives The aim of this study was to determine epidemiological characteristics, tendency and possible influencing factors of road traffic injuries (RTIs) in China, so as to give target suggestions on preventative measures. Methods Road traffic accident data were obtained from National Bureau of Statistics of China and Ministry of Transport of the People’s Republic of China. Descriptive statistic such as RTIs frequency, trends of different accident types from 2007 to 2016; the RTIs difference between different regions and road surfaces were compared; and the possible influencing factors of RTIs were also explored. Results Over the past decade, with the mileage of constructed highway increased, the frequency of road traffic accidents have declined substantially in China, and the death toll from road traffic accidents with motor vehicles has declined from 2007 to 2015, Conversely, the number of deaths from non-motor vehicle accidents has risen rapidly since 2012. Our study showed that the traffic accident related mortality in Guizhou province was different from the level of the whole nation, and the Eastern, Central and Western areas of China were all significantly different (P < 0.001). Linear regression suggested a significant affected of gross domestic product (GDP)-per-capita, education level, the number of health institutions, populations, and car ownership status on traffic accident death tolls (P < 0.001). Moreover, cement concrete pavement roads were associated with the highest occurrence rates of RTI, and RTIs was statistically significant (P < 0.001) on different road surfaces. Conclusion Even though the frequency of road traffic accidents has declined, RTIs remain an urgent public health problem in China. Thus, the government should give some target preventative measures to reduce RTIs, aiming at different regions, the increasing trend of the death toll related to non-motor vehicles and the highest occurrence on cement concrete pavement roads.

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Is Brazil going to achieve the road traffic deaths target? An analysis about the sustainable development goals

Cited by 20 publications

References 19 publications

Reduction of pedestrian death rates: a missed global target

Reduction of pedestrian death rates: a missed global target

Fatores associados a acidentes de trânsito entre condutores de veículos: achados de um estudo de base populacional

Road traffic injuries in China from 2007 to 2016: the epidemiological characteristics, trends and influencing factors

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