“…On seasonal time scales cholera, as other diseases in Nigeria (e.g., Olouko et al, 2014), shows a seasonality with increased burdens from May to August. Additionally, social risk factors are playing an important role in transmission and outbreak of cholera, for example, the disease has been termed the 'disease of poverty' (Charles and Ryan, 2011;Snowden, 2008) and was associated with inadequate environmental sanitation conditions and untreated drinking water (e.g., Ali et al, 2002aAli et al, , 2002bHashizume et al, 2007;Penrose et al, 2010;Rajendran et al, 2011;Reiner et al, 2012;Talavera and Perez, 2009). Previous studies have demonstrated the possibility of predicting cholera epidemics (e.g., Reyburn et al, 2011), however, the importance of combining the effects of social risk factors in addition to meteorological conditions in studying the dynamics of the disease has been pointed out (e.g., Pascual et al, 2000;Chou et al, 2010).…”