@ERSpublicationsWe need to explore causal associations and apply novel statistical approaches in respiratory epidemiology http://ow.ly/GWOYT The paper by LUIJK et al. [1] in this issue of the European Respiratory Journal is a highlight for two reasons: it is the first to investigate parent-child bed-sharing practices and risk of childhood asthma; and it uses novel statistical approaches to explore causal relationships.One can hypothesise diverse influences of bed-sharing practices on respiratory disease. First, the close contact between bed-sharing parents and their offspring could lead to increased transmission of infectious agents and, thus, more virus-induced wheeze in the children. Conversely, the hygiene hypothesis suggests that contact with common pathogens in early childhood might protect from later allergic disease [2]. Lastly, parents of children with nocturnal asthma could tend to bed-share as a way to monitor their children. LUIJK et al.[1] took the challenge of investigating these associations by studying the early-life trajectories of 6160 children from the Generation R study, a population-based cohort from the Netherlands. They assessed bed-sharing twice, at ages 2 and 24 months, and wheezing at ages 1, 2, 3, 4 and 6 years. Data were analysed using generalised estimating equation (GEE) models, which allow analysis of longitudinal outcome data with several measurements per subject. The authors found no association between bed-sharing in infancy (at age 2 months) and later wheeze. In contrast, bed-sharing in toddlerhood (at age 2 years) was associated with more subsequent wheeze. The authors then used cross-lagged modelling to investigate the directions of the association. This approach compares regression coefficients between variables measured at subsequent time-points and estimates the strength of the causal effects between them. It confirmed that bed-sharing in infancy was not associated with subsequent wheezing but showed that bed-sharing in toddlers was, and the association became stronger for wheeze occurring at later ages. It found no evidence suggesting that wheezing in infancy leads to bed-sharing at age 2 years.The study gives no final answer as to whether the relationship found between bed-sharing in toddlerhood and wheezing at ages 3-6 years is causal, or what the mechanisms could be. It certainly lends no support to a protective effect suggested by the hygiene hypothesis, nor does it suggest that parents tend to share beds with wheezing toddlers to monitor their breathing. This leaves the third option, that bed-sharing leads to more infections, which in turn trigger wheezing episodes or lead to airway remodelling, but the support for this explanation was not strong. For instance, the associations were strongest for wheeze at age 6 years, 4 years after the assessment of sleeping practices, rather than simultaneously or shortly later. In addition, adjusting the model for respiratory tract infections did not attenuate the association between bed-sharing and wheeze, suggesting that the asso...