2020
DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3544689
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Job Polarization, Skill Mismatch and the Great Recession

Abstract: This paper shows that job polarization has a persistent negative effect on employment opportunities, labor mobility and skill-to-job match quality for mid/low-skilled workers, in particular during downturns. I introduce a model generating an endogenous mapping between skills and jobs, that I estimate to match solely occupational dynamics during the Great Recession, a major episode of polarization in the US economy. Yet, this is sufficient for the model to replicate well the reallocation patterns of all workers… Show more

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Cited by 10 publications
(6 citation statements)
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References 25 publications
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“…(2021) suggest that technological changes lead to skill upgrading, especially for high-skilled workers, but not for medium and low-skilled jobs. A similar conclusion is drawn by Sparreboom and Tarvid (2016), who indicate that technological change polarizes jobs, increasing the risk of over- or under-skilling, particularly for medium or low-skilled individuals (Zago, 2020).…”
Section: Related Literature and Theoretical Backgroundsupporting
confidence: 68%
“…(2021) suggest that technological changes lead to skill upgrading, especially for high-skilled workers, but not for medium and low-skilled jobs. A similar conclusion is drawn by Sparreboom and Tarvid (2016), who indicate that technological change polarizes jobs, increasing the risk of over- or under-skilling, particularly for medium or low-skilled individuals (Zago, 2020).…”
Section: Related Literature and Theoretical Backgroundsupporting
confidence: 68%
“…For Cappelli (2014), the labour supply in the USA is, in general, overqualified for the demand and the country is not suffering from a structural imbalance whereby the supply does not meet demand due to the unsuitability of qualifications. Furthermore, the unemployment rate in the USA and numerous other developed countries before the COVID-19 pandemic was at historically very low levels, which does not seem to reflect growing structural unemployment, even though this overqualification of the labour supply for low-or medium-skilled jobs could have a long-term impact on employment, as suggested by Zago (2021). 1…”
Section: Factors Of Mismatch In Labour Supply and Demandmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…This is especially important since our results may partially reflect penalties associated with labor market dynamics in the wake of the 2007 financial crisis. Furlanetto & Groshenny (2016) and Zago (2015) find that skill mismatch has increased since the Great Recession.…”
Section: Panel Analysis Of the Effect Of The Matching Score On Wagesmentioning
confidence: 99%