Background-Measurement of B-type natriuretic peptide (BNP) concentration or its precursor (N-terminal fragment [NT-proBNP]) is recommended in patients with symptoms of left ventricular dysfunction and in other settings, but the relevance of these peptides to cardiovascular disease (CVD) in general populations or in patients with stable vascular disease is uncertain. Methods and Results-Data were collated from 40 long-term prospective studies involving a total of 87 474 participants and 10 625 incident CVD outcomes. In a comparison of individuals in the top third with those in the bottom third of baseline values of natriuretic peptides, the combined risk ratio (RR), adjusted for several conventional risk factors, was 2.82 (95% confidence interval [CI], 2.40 to 3.33) for CVD. Analysis of the 6 studies with at least 250 CVD outcomes (which should be less prone to selective reporting than are smaller studies) yielded an adjusted RR of 1. Key Words: cardiovascular diseases Ⅲ meta-analysis Ⅲ natriuretic peptides B -type natriuretic peptide (BNP) is a 32-amino acid polypeptide secreted by ventricular myocytes during periods of increased ventricular stretch and wall tension. This peptide is believed to play an important role in the regulation of blood pressure, blood volume, and sodium balance. On secretion, the BNP precursor is split into the biologically active peptide and the more stable N-terminal fragment (NT-proBNP). 1,2 Measurement of circulating levels of BNP or NT-proBNP has been recommended in the diagnosis and prognosis of patients with symptoms of left ventricular dysfunction 3 and for stratification of risk in patients with acute coronary syndromes. 4,5 Because in vitro studies have reported that natriuretic peptides are directly released from cardiomyocytes in response to myocardial ischemia, 6,7 it has been proposed that their circulating levels are relevant to subsequent risk of cardiovascular diseases (CVDs) other than heart failure.
Clinical Perspective on p 2187Although many prospective studies have investigated concentrations of natriuretic peptides in relation to the subsequent risk of CVD (eg, coronary heart disease [CHD] or stroke), most of them have not been systematically assessed. 8 -47 Two previous relevant reviews (in total involving 11 studies 48,49 ) involved only about one sixth of the currently available data. Interpretation of the evidence has been complicated by studies that have involved different markers (ie, BNP, NT-proBNP, or both), populations with different base- We report an updated meta-analysis of findings from 40 long-term prospective studies of BNP and NT-proBNP involving a total of 87 474 individuals, including 10 625 incident CVD outcomes, in 3 distinct groups: participants from approximately general populations, people selected on the basis of elevated CVD risk factors, and patients with stable CVD at study entry.
Methods
Study SelectionWe sought prospective studies that had been published before July 2009 and reported on associations of circulating BNP and/or NTproBNP w...