Judgment and Decision Making

Fischhoff, Baruch; Broomell, Stephen B.

doi:10.1146/annurev-psych-010419-050747

Cited by 111 publications

(68 citation statements)

References 140 publications

Supporting

Mentioning

Contrasting

Unclassified

Order By: Relevance

“…monetary reward, subjective preferences for goods, performance-related choices in sports, perceptual decisions) and do so while putting fewer constraints on participants’ motor behavior. Likewise, there are a plethora of other factors that may moderate the subjective value of choices in daily behavior, such as the cultural embedding 31 , emotional states 32 , and age 33 . Therefore, we recommend examining these and other potentially moderating factors to test whether our results prove robust and generalizable to other commonplace real-life situations.…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Body dynamics of gait affect value-based decisions

Grießbach

Incagli

Herbort

et al. 2021

Sci Rep

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

Choosing among different options typically entails weighing their anticipated costs and benefits. Previous research has predominantly focused on situations, where the costs and benefits of choices are known before an action is effectuated. Yet many decisions in daily life are made on the fly, for instance, making a snack choice while walking through the grocery store. Notably, the costs of actions change dynamically while moving. Therefore, in this study we examined whether the concurrent action dynamics of gait form part of and affect value-based decisions. In three experiments, participants had to decide which lateral (left vs. right) target (associated with different rewards) they would go to, while they were already walking. Results showed that the target choice was biased by the alternating stepping behavior, even at the expense of receiving less reward. These findings provide evidence that whole-body action dynamics affect value-based decisions.

show abstract

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Body dynamics of gait affect value-based decisions

Grießbach

Incagli

Herbort

et al. 2021

Sci Rep

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

show abstract

“…Decision-making is particularly important in adolescents due to its role in making judgments, predicting behavior, and planning goals (Fischhoff & Broomell, 2020). Risk decisions have been found to have foreseeable negative effects (Broniatowski & Reyna, 2018), and are more frequent in adolescent offenders (Poon, 2020).…”

Section: The Present Studymentioning

confidence: 99%

Decision-making Styles in Adolescent Offenders and Non-offenders: Effects of Emotional Intelligence and Empathy

Isaza

Jiménez

Montoya‐Castilla

2021

Anuario De Psicología Jurídica

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

The literature indicates that adolescents with delinquent behavior have greater difficulty making rational decisions and show lower emotional intelligence and empathy. Decision-making is a set of complex processes associated with neurobiological, cognitive, emotional, and social factors which help regulate and guide behavior, which could be influenced by emotional intelligence and empathy. A comparative, correlational, and predictive study was conducted to analyze relationships and influence of emotional intelligence and empathy in decision-making styles in adolescent offenders and non-offenders. 808 Colombian adolescents between 14 and 18 years of age participated (50% offenders). The results indicated significant differences in emotional attention, perspective taking, fantasy, empathic concern, vigilance, and hypervigilance. Emotional repair and perspective taking were identified as favoring rational decision-making. Additionally, emotional attention and personal distress were found to influence hypervigilance, buck-passing, and procrastination. The importance of intervening in emotional intelligence and empathy to favor decision-making styles in adolescents is discussed. Los estilos de toma de decisiones en los adolescentes delincuentes y no delincuentes: la influencia de la inteligencia emocional y de la empatía R E S U M E NLa literatura indica que los adolescentes que presentan conductas delictivas tienen mayor dificultad para tomar decisiones racionales y muestran menor inteligencia emocional y empatía. La toma de decisiones es un conjunto de procesos complejos asociados a factores neurobiológicos, cognitivos, emocionales y sociales que ayudan a regular y orientar la conducta, que podría estar influenciada por la inteligencia emocional y la empatía. Se realizó un estudio comparativo, correlacional y predictivo para analizar las relaciones y la influencia de la inteligencia emocional y la empatía en los estilos de toma de decisiones de adolescentes delincuentes y no delincuentes. Participaron 808 adolescentes colombianos entre 14 y 18 años (50% con conducta delictiva). Los resultados indicaron que había diferencias significativas en atención emocional, toma de perspectiva, fantasía, preocupación empática, vigilancia e hipervigilancia. Se observó que la reparación emocional y la toma de perspectiva favorecían la toma de decisiones racional. Además, se observó que la atención emocional y la angustia personal influían en la hipervigilancia, el escaqueo y la procrastinación. Se discute la importancia de intervenir en la inteligencia emocional y la empatía para favorecer los estilos de toma de decisiones en los adolescentes. Palabras clave: Delincuentes juveniles Toma de decisiones Inteligencia emocional EmpatíaThe study of decision-making is complex, as it deals with processes that constantly affect life experience and behavior. Among other aspects, analyzing decision-making implies knowledge of neurobiological mechanisms, the role of learning and memory, and understanding the purpose and analyzing the motivati...

show abstract

“…My proposed model of global–local incompatibility does not directly model cognition, but instead an incompatibility between the local environment and the true form of the global environment. Environmental characteristics define the judgment task (Dawes, 1993; Einhorn & Hogarth, 1978; Fiedler & Juslin, 2005; Fischhoff & Broomell, 2020; Hammond, Hursch, & Todd, 1964; Hogarth et al, 2015) and can limit the validity of even expert judgment (Broomell & Budescu, 2009; Hogarth, 1978; Shanteau, 1992). The environment defines (a) the amount of noise, (b) the dependencies between observations, and (c) the constraints on locally accessible information sources.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Global–Local Incompatibility: The Misperception of Reliability in Judgment Regarding Global Variables

Broomell

2020

Cognitive Science

Self Cite

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

A number of important decision domains, including decisions about hiring, global warming, and weather hazards, are characterized by a global-local incompatibility. These domains involve variables that cannot be observed by a single decision maker (DM) and require the integration of observations from locally available information cues. This paper presents a new bifocal lens model that describes how the structure of the environment can lead to a unique form of overconfidence when generalizing the reliability of the local environment to a global scale. When the local environment does not reliably reflect the global environment, they are incompatible. While local perspectives vary across DMs, global-local incompatibility can be understood using the structure of classical test theory as the difference between (a) perceived estimates of the reliability derived from the local environment and (b) the true reliability of the local environment. I model global-local incompatibility as the difference between the true and estimated reliability when the assumptions of classical test theory are violated. Using a series of case studies and an empirical study, I demonstrate the widespread utility of this framework, and I conclude by discussing implications for cognitive-ecological theory, risk communication, and overconfidence.

show abstract

Judgment and Decision Making

Cited by 111 publications

References 140 publications

Body dynamics of gait affect value-based decisions

Body dynamics of gait affect value-based decisions

Decision-making Styles in Adolescent Offenders and Non-offenders: Effects of Emotional Intelligence and Empathy

Global–Local Incompatibility: The Misperception of Reliability in Judgment Regarding Global Variables

Contact Info

Product

Resources

About