The selective reduction
of O
2
, typically with the goal
of forming H
2
O, represents a long-standing challenge in
the field of catalysis. Macrocyclic transition-metal complexes, and
cobalt porphyrins in particular, have been the focus of extensive
study as catalysts for this reaction. Here, we show that the mononuclear
Co-tetraarylporphyrin complex, Co(por
OMe
) (por
OMe
= meso-tetra(4-methoxyphenyl)porphyrin), catalyzes either
2e
–
/2H
+
or 4e
–
/4H
+
reduction of O
2
with high selectivity simply by
changing the identity of the Brønsted acid in dimethylformamide
(DMF). The thermodynamic potentials for O
2
reduction to
H
2
O
2
or H
2
O in DMF are determined
and exhibit a Nernstian dependence on the acid p
K
a
, while the Co
III/II
redox potential is independent
of the acid p
K
a
. The reaction product,
H
2
O or H
2
O
2
, is defined by the relationship
between the thermodynamic potential for O
2
reduction to
H
2
O
2
and the Co
III/II
redox potential:
selective H
2
O
2
formation is observed when the
Co
III/II
potential is
below
the O
2
/H
2
O
2
potential, while H
2
O formation is observed when the Co
III/II
potential is
above
the O
2
/H
2
O
2
potential.
Mechanistic studies reveal that the reactions generating H
2
O
2
and H
2
O exhibit different rate laws and
catalyst resting states, and these differences are manifested as different
slopes in linear free energy correlations between the log(rate) versus
p
K
a
and log(rate) versus effective overpotential
for the reactions. This work shows how scaling relationships may be
used to control product selectivity, and it provides a mechanistic
basis for the pursuit of molecular catalysts that achieve low overpotential
reduction of O
2
to H
2
O.