L'entreprise Macron

Dolez, Bernard; Lefebvre, Rémi; Fretel, Julien

doi:10.3917/pug.dolez.2019.01

Cited by 26 publications

(4 citation statements)

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“…Above and beyond questions of methodology, the 2014 municipal elections in Montpellier are interesting for several reasons. Firstly because of Saurel's victory, and the spectacular surge in his support between the first and second rounds; more broadly, this result presaged the victories secured by many "non-partisan" lists in the municipal elections of 2020 (Gourgues, Lebrou, Sainty, 2020;Audemard, Gouard, Huc, 2021), and the collapse in support for the old parties of government, heralded by the election of Emmanuel Macron as President of the French Republic (Dolez, Fretel, Lefebvre, 2019).…”

Section: The Example Of the 2014 Municipal Elections In Montpelliermentioning

confidence: 96%

Understanding vote transfers in two-round elections without resorting to declared data. The contribution of ecological inference, consolidated with factual information from a case study of the 2014 municipal elections in Montpellier

Audemard

2024

Bulletin of Sociological Methodology/Bulletin de Méthodologie S

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In electoral sociology, the analysis of vote transfers has traditionally depended on individual data obtained from surveys. Because such data suffer from a significant amount of declaration and memory bias, replacing them with the electoral statistics available down to polling station level may be advantageous. Recent developments in models of ecological inference allow us to use these aggregated data to establish estimates of vote transfers while minimising the risk of ecological error. Nonetheless, the reliability of ecological inference models for estimating vote transfers has thus far received little attention in the form of empirical evaluations. The purpose of the present article is to cast light on this blind spot by analysing a model for predicting electoral volatility in a two-round election, namely the municipal election held in Montpellier in 2014. What makes this approach original is its use of observed information – the proportion of non-voters in both rounds – first to compare this data with the estimates produced by the model and then to integrate it as a modelling parameter to measure its impact on estimated vote allocation. This analysis reveals that the initial model's results are relatively reliable regarding the known parameter, although they slightly overestimate its amplitude and underestimate its variability. The model that integrates information regarding the proportion of consistent non-voters yields estimates close to those obtained using the “raw” model. In terms of interpretative capacity, the value added by integrating this additional information is, therefore, slight. However, integrating the information does make it possible to establish narrower density intervals, reducing the uncertainty associated with the interpretation of the other parameters, particularly proportions associated with candidates who received few votes in the first round.

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Section: The Example Of the 2014 Municipal Elections In Montpelliermentioning

confidence: 96%

Understanding vote transfers in two-round elections without resorting to declared data. The contribution of ecological inference, consolidated with factual information from a case study of the 2014 municipal elections in Montpellier

Audemard

2024

Bulletin of Sociological Methodology/Bulletin de Méthodologie S

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“…Up until now, a significant body of research has investigated shifts and changes in French politics from the perspective of party system and its new developments, such as the emerging conflict dimensions (see, e.g., Evans and Ivaldi, 2017;Gougou and Persico, 2017), the renewal of party platforms, strategies and campaign effects (see, e.g., Dolez et al, 2019;Perrineau, 2017), or changes in the long run at the elite level and the underlying transformations of political recruitment channels (see, e.g., Boelaert et al, 2018). In this double special issue, we propose to shift the focus and address the dynamics of French politics through the lens of value systems as we believe values are substantial drivers of political changes (Inglehart, 1977(Inglehart, , 1990Norris and Inglehart, 2019).…”

Section: Investigating Forty Years Of French Politics Through the Pri...mentioning

confidence: 99%

Investigating forty years of French politics through the prism of value change

Belot,

Bréchon,

Gonthier

2024

Investigating Forty Years of French Politics Through Value Changes

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“…But similar undertakings can also be seen elsewhere. For instance, Emmanuel Macron's 'start-up nation' project is an attempt to mobilize the French nation in the development of a competitive innovation hub (Dolez et al, 2022); the Israeli state's programme of financial education seeks to have households participate in the embedding of competitive financial markets (Avigur-Eshel and Mandelkern, 2021) and the entrepreneurship and youth empowerment agendas of the Jordanian and Moroccan rulers aim to enlist social entrepreneurs to fill the gaps left by the dislocations of neoliberal accumulation (Isleyen and Kreitmeyr, 2021;Kreitmeyr, 2019).…”

Section: Accumulation Coercion and The Role Of Legitimation In Author...mentioning

confidence: 99%

‘In time, every worker a capitalist’: Accumulation by legitimation and authoritarian neoliberalism in Thatcher’s Britain

Vieira

2023

Competition & Change

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In this article, I show that current literature on authoritarian neoliberalism has not only overlooked the crucial role of legitimation in authoritarian neoliberal regimes, both pre- and post-2008, it has also failed to properly conceptualise it. While existing scholarship mainly pictures neoliberal governments as pursuing legitimation to ensure accumulation remains unopposed, I instead argue that neoliberal governments see legitimation as an instrument of, and precondition for, accumulation – as directly feeding into it. Indeed, my contribution shows that governments aim to transform citizens into neoliberal subjects that actively and willingly participate in neoliberal accumulation. I call this project, which relies on state-driven mass behavioural change, a strategy of ‘accumulation by legitimation’. The article illustrates this with the case of Thatcherism, analysing newly released governmental archival sources through a Marxist-Foucauldian framework. I unearth the Thatcher government’s propaganda campaign and employee involvement policy, which were a combined effort to influence the British people through governmental education, share ownership as well as communication and consultation in industry. The objective was to turn British workers into self-identifying capitalists that would willingly support the market order and accept its imperatives by themselves, such as the need to moderate their own wage demands. Thatcherites saw this as a prerequisite for their employment and counter-inflationary policies to work. This far-reaching strategy however faced significant obstacles, both from inside government and from British capital, illustrating key contradictions in neoliberalism. While neoliberal ideas endure, this sheds light on the incomplete and fragile character of neoliberal hegemony up to today.

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L'entreprise Macron

Cited by 26 publications

References 0 publications

Understanding vote transfers in two-round elections without resorting to declared data. The contribution of ecological inference, consolidated with factual information from a case study of the 2014 municipal elections in Montpellier

Understanding vote transfers in two-round elections without resorting to declared data. The contribution of ecological inference, consolidated with factual information from a case study of the 2014 municipal elections in Montpellier

Investigating forty years of French politics through the prism of value change

‘In time, every worker a capitalist’: Accumulation by legitimation and authoritarian neoliberalism in Thatcher’s Britain

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