La cadena productiva de mora en el Departamento Risaralda en el marco de un estudio de prospectiva a 2032

Suárez, Lina María Montoya; Agudelo, Diego Alejandro; Zartha, Jhon W.; Orozco, Gina L.

doi:10.22517/23447214.23921

Cited by 4 publications

(5 citation statements)

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“…The second methodological component was based on the application of a prospective study for which the Delphi method was used in two rounds. It has been used in previous studies in agro-industrial sectors of plantain (Suarez et al, 2020), blackberry (Suarez et al, 2021), cocoa (Meza et al, 2020), and biodegradable packaging (Zartha et al, 2015).…”

Section: Methodsmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…The Delphi method used in this study took into account the application of statistical techniques such as mode, modal frequency, consensus percentages, decisions on the prioritization of topics, technologies, and innovations, and the methodology and techniques used in this study were applied and tested in studies previous ones in agro-industrial sectors such as cocoa (Meza et al, 2020), blackberry (Suarez et al, 2021), banana (Suarez et al, 2020), and biodegradable packaging (Zartha et al, 2015), among others.…”

Section: Methodsmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…The process is transversal to the organization and involves different responsibilities and tasks to a group of the organization or even to its area of influence, but this implies a sustained process over time (Sánchez-Torres, 2002). "Technological prospective studies have a great influence on innovation policies of countries, since they offer the possibility of identifying and taking advantage of future opportunities in which a certain sector must bet on science, technology, industry and society through a process participation of scientists, industrialists and government" (Suarez et al, 2021). A prospective study, thus, serves to give a focus to future research or trade since it offers the opportunity to be aware of "What is changing?, " "What might change?, " "What should change?, " "Who can make these changes?, " and "What are the implications of those changes?"…”

Section: Technological Surveillance and Foresightmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…A prospective study, thus, serves to give a focus to future research or trade since it offers the opportunity to be aware of "What is changing?, " "What might change?, " "What should change?, " "Who can make these changes?, " and "What are the implications of those changes?" Knowing this, it is easier to be able to identify which topic provides the highest possible profitability or which topic is of greatest interest to the public (Suarez et al, 2021). The prospective study relates to the art or science of studying and providing the future, generating a reflection that allows clarifying the action of the present under possible futures, thus generating a tool that allows organizing and structuring actions for the future transparently and effectively (Ramírez et al, 2016).…”

Section: Technological Surveillance and Foresightmentioning

confidence: 99%

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Innovations and trends in the coconut agroindustry supply chain: A technological surveillance and foresight analysis

Ramírez

Muñoz

Sossa

2023

Front. Sustain. Food Syst.

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Coconut (Cocos nucifera) is a raw material that has gained particular relevance for agribusiness in recent years. This has come about largely owing to the paradigm shift regarding its genuine nutritional benefits. It is especially due to innovation that has been incorporated into agro-industrial processing and the development of new products, and the fruits of such labor can be seen in the growing demand by consumers around the world. Integrally making full use of coconut, it turns out, is extremely important for agribusiness. Coconut indeed has become a benchmark, not only from the environmental dimension but also from the social and economic perspectives both of the communities that plant it and the agribusinesses that transform it. This study aims to identify technologies, new uses, trends, and innovations related to the coconut agro-industrial chain, as well as their prioritization, by means of a prospective study, using the Delphi method in two rounds. Two methods applied at the methodological level comprised a technological surveillance study by means of a literature review in a SCOPUS database, PatentsInspiration, complemented with commercial surveillance for the four major topics of plastic wood, coconut oil extraction, high salinity and moisture, and small-scale coconut by-products. Moreover, the Delphi method was used, in two rounds, with 178 topics, technologies, and innovations, classified into seven thematic groups. The Delphi was answered by 32 experts in the two rounds. Vantage Point text mining software was also applied for the analysis of the surveillance results. Within the seven thematic groups, the following 10 priority technologies are highlighted: functional phytochemicals, non-caloric sweeteners, coconut milk preservation technologies, water activity and shelf life, coconut sugar extraction methods, batch and continuous drying technologies, lyophilization, coconut fiber and shredded recycled PET, magnetic particle modification of activated carbon derived from coconut shell and biochar to effectively remove phenol from water, and biodegradable packaging for coconut derivatives. In addition, the following topics were prioritized in the sustainability grouper: sustainable agriculture, bioeconomy, family agriculture, and circular economy.

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Section: Methodsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Methodsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Technological Surveillance and Foresightmentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Technological Surveillance and Foresightmentioning

confidence: 99%

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Innovations and trends in the coconut agroindustry supply chain: A technological surveillance and foresight analysis

Ramírez

Muñoz

Sossa

2023

Front. Sustain. Food Syst.

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“…A nivel local, en el trabajo de López Isaza et al [14] sobre la caracterización de la cadena de suministro de los cafés especiales de Belén de Umbría en el departamento de Risaralda, se encuentra que la cadena esta desarticulada por la falta de un sistema de comunicación efectiva; también en Orjuela Castro et al [15] se lleva a cabo la caracterización de la logística de la cadena de suministro de cosméticos y productos de aseo, donde se hace un análisis estratégico, táctico y operativo de los procesos y recursos logísticos. La perspectiva de análisis tiene en cuenta los cinco procesos logísticos: aprovisionamiento (proveedores y compras), almacenamiento, inventarios, distribución y logística de servicio al cliente, así como en los recursos almacenes, transporte, factor humano y la trazabilidad.…”

Section: Revisión De Antecedentesunclassified

Diagnóstico del sistema de abastecimiento de productos agrícolas en una población colombiana

Herrera Ochoa,

Hualpa,

Luna

2023

ing. Solidar

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Introducción: el artículo es producto de la fase 1 de la investigación: “Modelo de gestión para el abastecimiento sostenible de frutas y verduras en tenderos del municipio de Mosquera a través de un esquema de asociativi-dad”, realizado en la Universidad de La Salle en el 2021.Problema: el abastecimiento de alimentos en Mosquera es desarticulado, pues se realiza de manera indepen-diente por cada tendero, lo cual genera sobrecostos especialmente en el transporte.Objetivo: caracterizar y diagnosticar el sistema de abastecimiento de alimentos en Mosquera.Método: análisis de la unidad de análisis mediante recolección de información por observación directa y mediante entrevistas guiadas, llevándose a cabo un análisis descriptivo correlacional para el análisis de las variables a partir de la caracterización del sistema.Resultados: establecimiento de factores y variables clave del sistema de abastecimiento de alimentos en Mosquera como ubicación, cantidad de productos por tipo, frecuencia de compra, métodos de almacenamien-to y exhibición, entre otros. Además, del diagnóstico a nivel estratégico, táctico y operativo mediante el uso de técnicas de análisis organizacional y de ingeniería.Conclusiones: estrategias de mejora de la cadena de suministro en su conjunto desde el ámbito económico, ambiental y social de Mosquera, las cuales tienen en cuenta la operatividad eficiente y sostenible del sistema mediante un esquema de asociatividad de los tenderos en el municipio. Este puede contribuir a la seguridad alimentaria a través de un mayor acceso a los alimentos con reducción de precios y disponibilidad oportuna en las localidades objeto de estudio. Originalidad: estructuración de factores y operacionalización de variables para definir la operación completa de abastecimiento de alimentos. Limitaciones: condiciones particulares de uso para el objeto practico de estudio.

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Future prospectives in plantain agro-chain by foresight-by-scenarios and Delphi analysis

Zartha Sossa,

Gutiérrez Posada,

Zuluaga Monsalve

et al. 2024

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Purpose This paper aims to identify future scenarios and convergent technologies regarding the plantain chain in the region of Quindío, Colombia. It proposes the definition of key variables, convergent technologies, future objectives, future scenarios and hypotheses based on stakeholders’ and experts’ opinions collected through questionnaires, surveys and workshops. Design/methodology/approach The present analysis seeks to identify and anticipate the future routes for the improvement of scientific, technological, innovative and skills management of the plantain agroindustrial chain in the region of Quindío, Colombia using the foresight-by-scenarios and, Delphi methodologies and finally validating the results with artificial intelligence code and natural language processing. Findings After the analysis of 100 initial variables, the results suggested the identification of five key variables defined by the stakeholders and matrix-based multiplication applied to a classification (MICMAC) analysis such as “weather,” “financing and economy,” “grouping and associativity,” “crop” and “territorial planning and raw material.” Moreover, the definition of four future objectives along with the matrix of alliances and conflicts, tactics, objectives and recommendations (MACTOR) analysis suggested scenarios according to the probability. The most possible, probable and desirable scenario, was the cooccurrence of the five proposed hypotheses. Furthermore, the Delphi analysis allowed us to define nine subgroups from 116 subtopics including: “plantain varieties,” “plantain agroindustry,” “waste use” and “crop,” among others. Research limitations/implications Due to the specificity of the analyzed agro-chain, the study only encompasses the plantain and banana sectors. However, the implications are related to the generation of projects in the selected technologies. Practical implications This paper includes implications for the development of prospective studies combining two or more different methodologies such as foresight-by-scenarios and Delphi method at the same time and further comparing the results with artificial intelligence analysis. Social implications The generation of public policies in the sector and input for governmental analysis and tools for decision-making with a well-grounded, systematic and rational point of view. Originality/value This work describes for the first time, the implementation of the Delphi method regarding an important agroindustry sector such as plantain and banana prospective study. Furthermore, it explains the alignment of two methodologies; foresight-by-scenarios and the Delphi method related to the sectorial approaches, and convergent technologies and innovations, respectively. Moreover, a complementary bibliometric analysis with global terms related to the plantain or banana agroindustry was also included. In a novel way, we also applied an artificial intelligence code using Python software to contrast the results previously obtained in the foresight-by-scenarios method.

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La cadena productiva de mora en el Departamento Risaralda en el marco de un estudio de prospectiva a 2032

Cited by 4 publications

References 0 publications

Innovations and trends in the coconut agroindustry supply chain: A technological surveillance and foresight analysis

Innovations and trends in the coconut agroindustry supply chain: A technological surveillance and foresight analysis

Diagnóstico del sistema de abastecimiento de productos agrícolas en una población colombiana

Future prospectives in plantain agro-chain by foresight-by-scenarios and Delphi analysis

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