Labor Demand in the time of COVID-19: Evidence from vacancy postings and UI claims

Forsythe, Eliza; Kahn, Lisa B.; Lange, Fabian; Wiczer, David

doi:10.3386/w27061

Cited by 146 publications

(172 citation statements)

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“…The data allow us to produce a variety of metrics to measure high-frequency labor market changes 2 Our paper complements many recent papers which use a variety of different data sources to track labor market outcomes during the recent recession. A sampling of those papers includes: Bartik et al (2020a), Bartik et al (2020b) Barrero et al (2020), Bick and Blandin (2020), Brynjolfsson et al (2020), Chetty et al (2020), Dingel and Neiman (2020), Coibion et al (2020), Kahn et al (2020) and Kurmann et al (2020). As discussed above, our ADP data have advantages over the data used in many of these other papers in that they are nationally representative, have large sample sizes, track both employment and wages, and allow for the joint matching of individual workers to individual businesses.…”

Section: Section I Data and Methodologymentioning

confidence: 99%

The U.S. Labor Market during the Beginning of the Pandemic Recession

Cajner¹,

Crane²,

Decker³

et al. 2020

249

210

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We thank Sinem Buber, Mita Goldar and Matthew Levin from ADP for their support on the project. We also thank Steve Davis, Jan Eberly and Jonathan Parker for comments on prior drafts. As part of the University of Chicago data use contract, ADP reviewed the paper prior to distribution with the sole focus of making sure that the paper did not release information that would compromise the privacy of their clients or reveal proprietary information about the ADP business model. The views expressed in the paper are the authors' and do not necessarily reflect the views of ADP or the National Bureau of Economic Research. Additionally, the analysis and conclusions set forth here are those of the authors and do not indicate concurrence by other members of the research staff or the Board of Governors. At least one co-author has disclosed a financial relationship of potential relevance for this research. Further information is available online at http://www.nber.org/papers/w27159.ack NBER working papers are circulated for discussion and comment purposes. They have not been peerreviewed or been subject to the review by the NBER Board of Directors that accompanies official NBER publications.

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Section: Section I Data and Methodologymentioning

confidence: 99%

The U.S. Labor Market during the Beginning of the Pandemic Recession

Cajner¹,

Crane²,

Decker³

et al. 2020

249

210

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

show abstract

“…Lozano-Rojas et al (2020) show that the historically unprecedented increase in initial unemployment claims in March 2020 was largely across-the-board, occurring in all states regardless of local epidemiological conditions or policy responses. Similarly, Kahn et al (2020) show a large drop in job vacancy postings -an indicator of labor demand -in the second half of March, so that by early April, there were 30% fewer job postings than at the beginning of the year. These large declines happened across states, regardless of state policies or infection rates.…”

Section: Related Researchmentioning

confidence: 98%

Determinants of Disparities in Covid-19 Job Losses

et al. 2020

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We make several contributions to understanding the socio-demographic ramifications of the COVID-19 epidemic and policy responses on employment outcomes of subgroups in the U.S., benchmarked against two previous recessions. First, monthly Current Population Survey (CPS) data show greater declines in employment in April and May 2020 (relative to February) for Hispanics, younger workers, and those with high school degrees and some college. Between April and May, all the demographic subgroups considered regained some employment. While in most cases the re-employment in May was proportional to the employment drop occurred through April, we show that this was not the case for Blacks. Second, we show that job loss was larger in occupations that require more interpersonal contact and that cannot be performed remotely. Third, we see that consistent with theories of occupational segregation, the extent to which workers of certain demographic groups sort (pre-COVID-19) into occupations and industries can explain a sizeable portion of the gender, race, and ethnic gaps in recent unemployment. However, there remain substantial unexplained differences in employment losses across groups even in these detailed decompositions. We also demonstrate the importance of tracking workers who report having a job but are absent from work, in addition to tracking employed and unemployed workers. We conclude with a discussion of policy priorities and future research needs implied by the disparities in labor market losses from the COVID-19 crisis that we identify.

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“…Other research using data collected before the crisis has discussed channels through which the current crisis may affect workers differently depending on their gender and occupation (Alon et al 2020; Dingel and Neiman 2020; Mongey and Weinberg 2020). 3 Looking at job ads, Kahn, Lange and Wiczer (2020) find that in the US demand for labor has decreased drastically. We provide real time evidence on the effect of the pandemic on the supply-side of labor market outcomes.…”

Section: Motivationmentioning

confidence: 99%

Inequality in the impact of the coronavirus shock: Evidence from real time surveys

Adams‐Prassl

Boneva

Golin

et al. 2020

Journal of Public Economics

1,082

714

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We present real time survey evidence from the UK, US and Germany showing that the labor market impacts of COVID-19 differ considerably across countries. Employees in Germany, which has a well-established short-time work scheme, are substantially less likely to be affected by the crisis. Within countries, the impacts are highly unequal and exacerbate existing inequalities. Workers in alternative work arrangements and in occupations in which only a small share of tasks can be done from home are more likely to have reduced their hours, lost their jobs and suffered falls in earnings. Less educated workers and women are more affected by the crisis.

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Labor Demand in the time of COVID-19: Evidence from vacancy postings and UI claims

Cited by 146 publications

References 0 publications

The U.S. Labor Market during the Beginning of the Pandemic Recession

The U.S. Labor Market during the Beginning of the Pandemic Recession

Determinants of Disparities in Covid-19 Job Losses

Inequality in the impact of the coronavirus shock: Evidence from real time surveys

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