Abstract. A widespread increase in tree mortality has been observed
around the globe, and this trend is likely to continue because of ongoing
climate-induced increases in drought frequency and intensity. This raises
the need to identify regions and ecosystems that are likely to experience
the most frequent and significant damage. We present SurEau-Ecos, a trait-based,
plant hydraulic model designed to predict tree desiccation and mortality at
scales from stand to region. SurEau-Ecos draws on the general principles of the SurEau model
but introduces a simplified representation of plant architecture and
alternative numerical schemes. Both additions were made to facilitate model
parameterization and large-scale applications. In SurEau-Ecos, the water fluxes from
the soil to the atmosphere are represented through two plant organs (a leaf
and a stem, which includes the volume of the trunk, roots and branches) as
the product of an interface conductance and the difference between water
potentials. Each organ is described by its symplasmic and apoplasmic
compartments. The dynamics of a plant's water status beyond the point of
stomatal closure are explicitly represented via residual transpiration flow,
plant cavitation and solicitation of plants' water reservoirs. In addition
to the “explicit” numerical scheme of SurEau, we implemented a “semi-implicit”
and “implicit” scheme. Both schemes led to a substantial gain in computing
time compared to the explicit scheme (>10 000 times), and
the implicit scheme was the most accurate. We also observed similar plant
water dynamics between SurEau-Ecos and SurEau but slight disparities in infra-daily
variations of plant water potentials, which we attributed to the differences
in the representation of plant architecture between models. A global model's
sensitivity analysis revealed that factors controlling plant desiccation
rates differ depending on whether leaf water potential is below or above the
point of stomatal closure. Total available water for the plant, leaf area
index and the leaf water potential at 50 % stomatal closure mostly drove
the time needed to reach stomatal closure. Once stomata are closed,
resistance to cavitation, residual cuticular transpiration and plant water
stocks mostly determined the time to hydraulic failure. Finally, we
illustrated the potential of SurEau-Ecos to simulate regional drought-induced mortality
over France. SurEau-Ecos is a promising tool to perform regional-scale predictions of
drought-induced hydraulic failure, determine the most vulnerable areas and
ecosystems to drying conditions, and assess the dynamics of forest
flammability.