2022
DOI: 10.1098/rsos.220582
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Land reversion and zoonotic spillover risk

Abstract: Deforestation alters wildlife communities and modifies human–wildlife interactions, often increasing zoonotic spillover potential. When deforested land reverts to forest, species composition differences between primary and regenerating (secondary) forest could alter spillover risk trajectory. We develop a mathematical model of land-use change, where habitats differ in their relative spillover risk, to understand how land reversion influences spillover risk. We apply this framework to scenarios where spillover … Show more

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Cited by 6 publications
(5 citation statements)
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“…Deforestation modifies wildlife communities, and thus increasing zoonotic spillover potential is a growing area of concern [44]. The increase in zoonotic outbreaks, majorly in tropical lands, has been in part connected to human population growth from 1990 to 2016 [45].…”
Section: Figurementioning
confidence: 99%
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“…Deforestation modifies wildlife communities, and thus increasing zoonotic spillover potential is a growing area of concern [44]. The increase in zoonotic outbreaks, majorly in tropical lands, has been in part connected to human population growth from 1990 to 2016 [45].…”
Section: Figurementioning
confidence: 99%
“…The increase in zoonotic outbreaks, majorly in tropical lands, has been in part connected to human population growth from 1990 to 2016 [45]. To help reduce the risk of the emergence and spread of zoonotic pathogens, it would be of great value to encourage the redirection of wildlife hosts to alternate forested lands when they have lost habitat space in a deforested region [44]. The regeneration and reparation of forested lands can reduce the transmission potential of zoonoses while also Another way in which deforestation drives zoonoses or infectious disease transmissions is by removing native habits, and thus encouraging the movement of animals into human-inhabited regions previously unexplored by wildlife [33].…”
Section: Figurementioning
confidence: 99%
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“…Where land changes are unavoidable, the tourism industry can plant trees to offset those changes, offering alternative habitats for displaced animals (Vinson et al 2022). Investing in tree planting initiatives also creates local jobs and therefore contributes directly to the local economy.…”
Section: The Role Of Tourism In Preventing (The Spread Of) Future Eme...mentioning
confidence: 99%