Land use/land cover changing aspect implications: Lesser Zab River Basin, northeastern Iraq

Mahdi, Zahra A.; Mohammed, Ruqayah

doi:10.1007/s10661-022-10324-0

Cited by 5 publications

(5 citation statements)

References 28 publications

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“…The increase is moderate in Iraq's northern parts of the country, but more so in the central, western, and southern regions. Temperature increases in Iraq have the potential to accelerate desertification, affecting agriculture [35], land use/land cover changes, and water supplies [22]. Rising surface water evaporation is leading to water scarcity, highlighting the urgent need for sustainable, long-term solutions to address and adapt to these consequences.…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…The Lower Zab River (between latitudes 36°50′ N and 35°20′ N and longitudes 43°25′ E and 45°50′ E) is one of the mainly significant branches of the Tigris River [2,22]; Figure 1. The river is situated nearly 220 km north of Baghdad, the capital city [2,22,23]. The corresponding catchment is approximately 19,254 km 2 [24].…”

Section: Symbolic Regional Study Examplementioning

confidence: 99%

“…The upper and lower parts of the LZRB development vary generally, which presents a significantly greater variety of doubts about climate change's effect on the accessibility of water resources. Due to approximately 80% precipitation reduction, the LZRB experienced severe drought during the 2007/2008 hydrological year [22,24]. The extensive drought conditions caused a catastrophic effect on crop production and the lives of the people in the region.…”

Section: Symbolic Regional Study Examplementioning

confidence: 99%

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Climate Change Scenarios for Impact Assessment: Lower Zab River Basin (Iraq and Iran)

Mohammed,

Scholz

2024

Atmosphere

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Selecting appropriate climate change scenarios is crucial, as it influences the outcomes of climate change impact studies. Several storylines could be used to investigate the sensitivity of water resource schemes to weather variability and improve policymakers’ adaptation strategies. This study proposes a comprehensive and generic methodology for assessing the future climate change impact on semi-arid and arid zones at the basin scale by comparing delta perturbation scenarios to the outcomes of seven collections of GCMs (general circulation models). The findings indicate that the two scenarios predicted nearly identical declines in average reservoir discharges over a monthly timescale. Consequently, their maximum values are almost similar. The projected decrease in the streamflow for the period 2080–2099 is approximately 48%—the same as the ratio from the delta perturbation scenario of Future16 (a 30% precipitation decrease and a 30% potential evapotranspiration increase). Furthermore, delta perturbation scenarios allow the impacts of model sensitivity to climate change to be clearly identified in relation to GCM scenarios. Delta perturbation scenarios allow for an extensive collection of possible climate changes at the regional scale. In addition, delta perturbation scenarios are simpler to create and use; therefore, they might complement GCM scenarios.

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Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Symbolic Regional Study Examplementioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Symbolic Regional Study Examplementioning

confidence: 99%

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Climate Change Scenarios for Impact Assessment: Lower Zab River Basin (Iraq and Iran)

Mohammed,

Scholz

2024

Atmosphere

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“…The catchment has a semi-arid continental climate in the north and north-east parts and an arid climate in the south and south-east parts with hot summer, occasionally, the maximum temperature reaches 42.2 °C and cool, wet winter (Mahdi & Mohammed, 2022). In that order, annual average air temperatures might range between 25.2 °C and 13.9 °C.…”

Section: Study Areamentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Compared with the past, the LU/LC concentration, quickness, and amount of alteration are currently quicker caused by public development. The fast growth in inhabitants has disturbed the Globe (Saleh & Ahmed, 2021;Mahdi & Mohammed, 2022). Thus, simulating present and prospective LU/LC alteration would be essential to the policy-making of ecological management and future development.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Predicting Land Use/Land Cover Changes in the Lesser Zab River Catchment/Iraq through CA-Markov Synergy Model

Mahdi

Mohammed

2022

Preprint

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Land use/land cover is one of the utmost dynamic constituents of the atmosphere that has been altering abnormally from the time after the industrial revolution at different measures. A good understanding of the drive and strength of environments needs regular monitoring and quantifying for land use/land cover alterations. The current research targets to predict the prospect of land use/land cover (LU/LC) alterations; for the Lesser Zab catchment in the Northern part of Iraq, applying the synergy Cellular Automata-Markov simulation. The Maximum Likelihood method classified three sequential years of Landsat images (1999, 2010, and 2021). Then, three LU/LC images, with numerous class classifications, were created, and an alteration identification examination; was performed. With the categorized (1999–2010) and (2010–2021) LU/LC maps in the hybrid model, the corresponded LU/LC maps; for 2021 and 2041; were modelled, and the classified 2021 LU/LC maps; were considered to validate the model output 2021. In that order, agreement accuracy between the classified and the modelled images was Kno = 0.864, Klocation = 0.854, and Kstandard = 0.785. Prospect likelihoods validate that between 2021 and 2041, the urban area would rise by 78% (from 1118 to 5200 km2). However, bare lands/light, agricultural lands, water bodies, bare lands/dark, and forest lands would decrease by 3% (from 6983 to 6736 km2), 12% (from 7992 to 7036 km2), 15% (from 141.03 to 119.86 km2), 30% (from 7 to 4 km2), and 76% (from 3810 to 904 km2), correspondingly. This study’s conclusions are priceless for policymakers, urban managers, and ecological researchers.

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Geo-informatics techniques for detecting changes in land use and land cover in response to regional weather variation

Younus

Mohammed

2023

Theor Appl Climatol

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Land use/land cover changing aspect implications: Lesser Zab River Basin, northeastern Iraq

Cited by 5 publications

References 28 publications

Climate Change Scenarios for Impact Assessment: Lower Zab River Basin (Iraq and Iran)

Climate Change Scenarios for Impact Assessment: Lower Zab River Basin (Iraq and Iran)

Predicting Land Use/Land Cover Changes in the Lesser Zab River Catchment/Iraq through CA-Markov Synergy Model

Geo-informatics techniques for detecting changes in land use and land cover in response to regional weather variation

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