Rockfall is one of the primary geological hazards in karst regions. In order to study the susceptibility distribution patterns of rockfall disasters in karst areas, the research areain Xincheng County is selected in this study and data are collected at 172 historical rockfall points under different geological environments. Various factors, including aspect, slope, elevation, terrain relief, plan curvature, profile curvature, landform type, roughness, coefficient of variation, lithology, fault distance, rainfall, distance to rivers, NDVI (Normalized Difference Vegetation Index), and distance to roads, are employed to construct four coupling models, e.g. IV-RF, IV-CHAID, IV-MLP and IV-SVM. Through comparative analysis of the accuracy and reliability of these models, the optimal evaluation model is determined. The results indicate the corresponding AUC (Area Under the Curve) values for the four models, IV-MLP, IV-CHAID, IV-RF, and IV-SVM, are 0.854, 0.86, 0.862, and 0.888, respectively. For prediction of rockfall in karst areas, rainfall, profile curvature, and coefficient of variation are identified as the most significant factors, accounting for 21%, 18%, and 11%, respectively. These factors indirectly promote water movement in karst areas, consequently influencing rockfall occurrences.