Latvia: Both Sides of the Economic Recovery Success Story

Rajevska, Feliciāna; Romanovska, Laura

doi:10.1007/978-3-319-07680-5_21

Cited by 6 publications

(5 citation statements)

References 3 publications

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“…Official statistics of Latvia, n/d b). In turn, emigration is one of the key issues that stimulates depopulation at regional level during long time (Rajevska & Romanovska, 2016). Mainly, socioeconomic conditions are the reasons for emigration, especially in the case of rural and peripheral territories.…”

Section: Research Results and Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Climate Change and Depopulation: Insights on Key Factors for Regional Development

Aleksejeva,

Šipilova,

Homutiņins

et al. 2024

Rural Development 2019

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Climate change and depopulation challenge regional sustainability through their negative effects on socioeconomic conditions. Given regional peculiarities in terms of geographical, economic, social, cultural, demographic, and environmental aspects, regions differ. As a result, the intensity of the possible negative effects provided by climate change and depopulation also differs across regions. A timely understanding of possible risks that have to be addressed through sustainable regional development policies allows for effective risk management. The article aims to characterise depopulation and climate change risks for the regions of Latvia. Within the article, the authors, first, elaborate long-term forecasts for population change by application of system dynamic modelling; second, characterise the climatic and environmental peculiarities of the regions in Latvia. The research findings introduce a wider audience of scientists and practitioners to possible risks for sustainable regional development in terms of climate change and depopulation. According to the data analysed, at the moment, for sustainable regional development in Latvia, depopulation is a greater risk than climate change. However, both risks have to be addressed through effective management.

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Section: Research Results and Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Climate Change and Depopulation: Insights on Key Factors for Regional Development

Aleksejeva,

Šipilova,

Homutiņins

et al. 2024

Rural Development 2019

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“…In this context, special attention must be devoted to regional population changes. Emigration is one of the main factors that stimulate depopulation at the regional level (Rajevska & Romanovska, 2016). Additionally, Latvia experienced the lowest birth rates in the last 100 years in 2022 (Official statistics portal; Official statistics of Latvia, n/d d).…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Human Capital at the Regional Level: Population Forecast Insights into Latvia from a Long-Term Perspective

Homutiņins,

Šipilova,

Aleksejeva

2024

Acad. J. Interdiscip. Stud.

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To remain prosperous and competitive, modern regions must meet the challenge of becoming smart and sustainable, and human capital has a key role in this context. Depopulation increases risks of human capital availability and emigration is a primary reason. Regions that are experiencing a decreased population must develop strategic sustainable regional development policies that consider scientifically based population forecasts. The youth population characterises regional potential for long-term human capital availability. First, children represent a region’s future employees and entrepreneurs. Second, children require availability of educational services at regional level, which promotes regional vitality. Third, the youth population indirectly demonstrates a region’s socio-economic attractiveness for living and working. This study employs the system dynamic method to forecast different population change scenarios at the regional level in Latvia. The results reveal a declining, long-term population tendency for working age and youth populations in Latvian regions. Overall, Latvian regions will remain extremely homogeneous in the long term, with minor differences in the short term. In conclusion, despite regional disparities in terms of quality of life with some leading examples, all regions will experience high emigration loss. Regional social, economic and environmental characteristics demonstrate a need to assess population change trends in a complex manner. This study provides data for understanding short- and long-term perspectives that must be addressed through sustainable regional development policies. Received: 27 October 2023 / Accepted: 24 March 2024 / Published: 5 May 2024

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“…According to scientific viewpoint, emigration is serious factor affecting demographic and economic processes in Latvia at regional level (e.g., Rajevska & Romanovska, 2016;Latgale Planning Region Development Council, 2020, n.d.).…”

Section: Peculiarities Of Regional Developmentmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Latgale region has a twice higher poverty risk than capital city region (e.g., European Commission, 2019). Scientists conclude that emigration is ongoing due to an inadequate level of wages in Latvia (Rajevska & Romanovska, 2016). For example, Ābeltiņa, Zvirgzdiņa, and Zariņa (2015) devote attention to differences in employment, levels of income and investment, which stimulate misbalance in regional development and later may result in emigration.…”

Section: Peculiarities Of Regional Developmentmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…According to the mentioned, population decline, which causes low economic capacity also, is the core issue for regional development in Latgale region. Emigration is recognised as one of the main reasons for population decline in the region (e.g., European Commission, 2019; Rajevska & Romanovska, 2016;Latgale Planning Region Development Council, 2020, n.d.). Scientific studies indicate that emigration is undoubted result of peculiarities of peripheral regions (e.g., Camarero & Oliva, 2019).…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

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Population Forecast with Focus on Emigration: Scenarios for the Case of Peripheral Region

Homutiņins

Šipilova

Aļeksejeva

2021

EJSD

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Sustainable decision-making and policies for regional development need clear understanding of future trends in population change. Emigration as one of the core factors of population change causes the greatest uncertainty in the demographic forecasts. Population change due to emigration is bright especially in peripheral regions what strengthens their unfavourable socio-economic conditions. Within the present study, the authors forecast population change due to emigration in peripheral region with high emigration rates. The authors offer three scenarios – current, half of current, and zero emigration, which demonstrate how differentiated population change due to emigration may be in case of different suppositions. Such approach focuses on the issue at local level. For numerical expression of population change, the authors apply simulation model based on system dynamics methods. Forecast results of future population change due to emigration in each scenario may be as a basis for timely inclusion of issues in regional development policies.

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Latvia: Both Sides of the Economic Recovery Success Story

Cited by 6 publications

References 3 publications

Climate Change and Depopulation: Insights on Key Factors for Regional Development

Climate Change and Depopulation: Insights on Key Factors for Regional Development

Human Capital at the Regional Level: Population Forecast Insights into Latvia from a Long-Term Perspective

Population Forecast with Focus on Emigration: Scenarios for the Case of Peripheral Region

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