2013
DOI: 10.1038/srep03493
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Lava flow hazards at Mount Etna: constraints imposed by eruptive history and numerical simulations

Abstract: Improving lava flow hazard assessment is one of the most important and challenging fields of volcanology, and has an immediate and practical impact on society. Here, we present a methodology for the quantitative assessment of lava flow hazards based on a combination of field data, numerical simulations and probability analyses. With the extensive data available on historic eruptions of Mt. Etna, going back over 2000 years, it has been possible to construct two hazard maps, one for flank and the other for summi… Show more

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Cited by 81 publications
(68 citation statements)
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“…In particular, with reference to lava-flow hazards, the project LAVA was run to improve the lava-flow modelling techniques and to produce hazard maps that could be dynamically upgraded. Within this broad and fruitful framework, the INGV focused their research efforts on developing new efficient methods of detecting hotspots from satellite images, transforming these data into effusion rates, and applying these results to routines that produce reliable deterministic lava-flow simulations using the Smoothed Particle Hydrodynamics (SPH) approach Ganci et al 2012b;Del Negro et al 2013) and probabilistic modelling of future eruptions (Cappello et al 2011(Cappello et al , 2012. In addition, we greatly expanded the network of fixed visible cameras, also adding several fixed thermal cameras that allow any eruptive event to be recognized rapidly (e.g.…”
Section: Conclusive Remarksmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…In particular, with reference to lava-flow hazards, the project LAVA was run to improve the lava-flow modelling techniques and to produce hazard maps that could be dynamically upgraded. Within this broad and fruitful framework, the INGV focused their research efforts on developing new efficient methods of detecting hotspots from satellite images, transforming these data into effusion rates, and applying these results to routines that produce reliable deterministic lava-flow simulations using the Smoothed Particle Hydrodynamics (SPH) approach Ganci et al 2012b;Del Negro et al 2013) and probabilistic modelling of future eruptions (Cappello et al 2011(Cappello et al , 2012. In addition, we greatly expanded the network of fixed visible cameras, also adding several fixed thermal cameras that allow any eruptive event to be recognized rapidly (e.g.…”
Section: Conclusive Remarksmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Generally, this information consists of: (i) the location of the hotspot(s); (ii) the area and temperature of the heat source; (iii) the excess of 'radiance' or heat flux(s); and (iv) the mass or volume flux(s). This data can be used to help reduce eruption-related hazards to lives and property and, in the case of effusive activity, provide essential input parameters for numerical models that predict the path of lava flows (Favalli et al 2005;Wright et al 2008;Proietti et al 2009;Vicari et al 2009;Ganci et al 2012b;Del Negro et al 2013). Lava flows can cause a major decrease in agricultural productivity and considerable damage to property, and, in some cases, they may also cause a significant number of deaths, such as during the 1977 and 2002 eruptions of Nyiragongo volcano (IRIS 2002;Baxter 2011).…”
mentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Etna today has a central conduit that feeds four summit craters named Voragine (VOR; formed in 1945 inside the former Central Crater), Northeast Crater (NEC;1911), Bocca Nuova (BN;1968) and Southeast Crater (SEC; 1971); the latter has been the most active in recent decades with the growth of a huge new cone on its southeast flank, named the New Southeast Crater (NSEC;2007;Del Negro et al, 2013). Volcanic events from any of these summit craters are known as summit eruptions (Acocella and Neri, 2003, and references therein).…”
Section: Geological Settingmentioning
confidence: 99%