2022
DOI: 10.48550/arxiv.2203.13294
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Learning Spatiotemporal Chaos Using Next-Generation Reservoir Computing

Abstract: Forecasting the behavior of high-dimensional dynamical systems using machine learning (ML) requires efficient methods to learn the underlying physical model. We demonstrate spatiotemporal chaos prediction of a heuristic atmospheric weather model using an ML architecture that, when combined with a next-generation reservoir computer, displays state-of-the-art performance with a training time 10 3 − 10 4 times faster and training data set ∼ 10 2 times smaller than other ML algorithms. We also take advantage of th… Show more

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Cited by 2 publications
(4 citation statements)
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“…We do not enforce this symmetry in the NG-RC feature vector, but we see that the NG-RC model properly learns the symmetry. 13,17 Beyond 330 time units, the trajectories diverge because of the chaotic nature of the attractors, but the dynamics appears qualitatively to be part of the same attractor, which is verified by the error metrics given in Table III. Here, the error in the uvariable is somewhat larger than for the other chaotic attractor but is still only ∼ 1%.…”
Section: B Testing On the Torussupporting
confidence: 55%
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“…We do not enforce this symmetry in the NG-RC feature vector, but we see that the NG-RC model properly learns the symmetry. 13,17 Beyond 330 time units, the trajectories diverge because of the chaotic nature of the attractors, but the dynamics appears qualitatively to be part of the same attractor, which is verified by the error metrics given in Table III. Here, the error in the uvariable is somewhat larger than for the other chaotic attractor but is still only ∼ 1%.…”
Section: B Testing On the Torussupporting
confidence: 55%
“…Studies on spatio-temporal systems are already underway. 13 Also, we will explore using adapted basis functions or functions that focus on a region of phase space to interpolate between discontinuous regions.…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
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“…Finally, we note that Gauthier et al (2021) proposed a further simplification to the RC architecture based on insights from Bollt (2021) that unifies versions of RC with nonlinear vector autoregression (NVAR). For a variety of chaotic systems, this architecture has shown excellent prediction skill even with low order, polynomial-based feature vectors (Barbosa & Gauthier, 2022;Gauthier et al, 2021), despite requiring a much smaller hidden state and less training data. Considering all of these advancements, we are motivated to use these simple yet powerful single layer NVAR and ESN architectures to emulate turbulent geophysical fluid dynamics, and study how they are affected by temporal subsampling (see Section 3 for architecture details).…”
mentioning
confidence: 99%