Imperial Germany is a prominent historical case in the study of Western Europe's political development. This paper investigates the number and content of political conflict dimensions from the foundation of the modern German state in 1866 to the end of Bismarck's reign as Chancellor in 1890. Methodologically, it applies dimension-reducing statistical methods to a novel dataset of content-coded parliamentary roll call votes. The analysis suggests that the emergence of the Catholic Centre Party in 1871 permanently transformed the conflict space from a single liberal-conservative divide to a two-dimensional space that distinguished positions on socio-economic issues and regime matters, respectively. The fact that positions on redistributive and regime issues were not aligned implies that theories stressing economic inequality as a driver for regime change are of limited applicability. Instead, the case of Imperial Germany highlights the importance of cross-cutting non-economic societal cleavages and the role of societal and political organisations in drawing attention to and perpetuating these divisions.
KeywordsDimensionality, political space, roll call votes, Reichstag, Imperial Germany 1 Email: frank.haege@ul.ie; web: www.frankhaege.eu.
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Political conflict dimensions in Bismarck's GermanyGermany's political development before World War I forms the backdrop for a number of influential theories of democratization (Moore 1966), party development (Michels 1911), as well as party system creation and change (Lipset and Rokkan 1967). Representing the paradigmatic case of the 'late democratizer' in Western Europe, even contemporary scholars of democratization feel compelled to demonstrate that their theories can provide an explanation for the longevity of the Kaiser's regime (e.g., Acemoglu and Robinson 2006: 67, 200-201; Ansell and Samuels 2014: 28-29, 52-54). This study contributes to our knowledge about German political development by identifying the dimensionality and content of the political conflict space during the founding years of the modern German state. It does so by analysing a novel data set of roll call votes taken in the Reichstag of the North German Confederation (1867-1871) and during the first seven legislative terms of the Reichstag of the German Empire (1871-1890). The study period covers Bismarck's entire term as Chancellor, which is often seen as a distinct era in the history of Imperial Germany (e.g., Biefang 2012:17-18). The study complements the early dimensional analysis by Smith and Turner (1981) of parliamentary voting in Wilhelmine Germany as well as more recent studies by Debus and Hansen (2010;Hansen and Debus 2012) on parliamentary voting in the Weimar Republic.However, the study does not only increase our descriptive knowledge about the nature of political competition in an important historical case, it also contributes to the methodological debate about the interpretation of roll call analyses and the theoretical discussion about the causes of regime stability and change. Met...