Legislative Party Switching and the Changing Nature of the Canadian Party System, 1867–2015

Sevi, Semra; Yoshinaka, Antoine; Blais, André

doi:10.1017/s0008423918000203

Cited by 11 publications

(7 citation statements)

References 33 publications

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“…Rather, once we account for the factors in the model, party switchers are not significantly more electorally vulnerable than non-switchers according to a common measure of marginality. This allows us to rule out endogeneity as an alternative explanation for our finding that party switchers pay an electoral price, and it is consistent with prior research conducted at the congressional level (Yoshinaka 2016) and elsewhere (Sevi, Yoshinaka, and Blais 2018). 14…”

Section: Empirical Analyses Of Ambition and Party Switchingsupporting

confidence: 88%

Short-Term Pain for Long-Term Gain: The Logic of Legislative Party Switching in the Contemporary American South

Yoshinaka

McKee

2019

State Politics Policy Q.

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One of the most important career decisions for a legislator is the decision to switch parties, and it raises a theoretical puzzle: it carries significant risk, yet sometimes legislators do change partisan affiliation. We elucidate this puzzle with the first-ever systematic comparison of the entire careers of state legislative switchers and non-switchers in the American South, where the high prevalence of party switching coincided with rapid realignment toward the Republican Party. Our analysis is the first to evaluate all post-switch career decisions (retiring, running for reelection, running for higher office) simultaneously, and it is the broadest in its scope with two full decades of career data. We demonstrate that converts to the Grand Old Party (GOP) pay a reelection cost. However, they are less likely to retire than Democratic non-switchers and more likely to seek higher office. This latter finding is especially strong during the earlier part of our study—when the Republican bench in the South was not as deep and competition for the party label was not as intense. Our findings suggest that political ambition motivates legislators to trade short-term electoral costs for a more promising long-term electoral career with the ascendant party.

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Section: Empirical Analyses Of Ambition and Party Switchingsupporting

confidence: 88%

Short-Term Pain for Long-Term Gain: The Logic of Legislative Party Switching in the Contemporary American South

Yoshinaka

McKee

2019

State Politics Policy Q.

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“…So far, these data have been used for five peer-reviewed manuscripts (Sevi, Yoshinaka and Blais, 2018; Sevi, Arel-Bundock and Blais, 2018; Sevi, Blais and Mayer, 2020; Tolley, Besco and Sevi, 2020; Sevi, Blais and Arel-Bundock, 2021); they have also been used in a number of presentations at academic conferences, in reports by think tanks, 7 by journalists, 8 and in many papers currently online or in the pipeline. As such, these data have been scrutinized by different researchers.…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…These data will allow researchers to investigate a number of important topics, including: the share of female candidates over an extended period of time; which occupations do better in politics (Sevi, Blais and Mayer, 2020); if women get fewer votes than men (Sevi, Arel-Bundock and Blais, 2018; Sevi, Blais and Arel-Bundock, 2021); how long politicians tend to stay in politics; the advantage gained by incumbency; how well independents do; the consequences for politicians who are elected under a party banner and then switch their party affiliation and run again either at the same level of government (Sevi, Yoshinaka and Blais, 2018) or across two different levels (provincial and federal); the progressive ambition of politicians across different levels of elections; and if by-elections are more favourable to smaller parties and/or independent candidates.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Who Runs? Canadian Federal and Ontario Provincial Candidates from 1867 to 2019

Sevi

2021

Can J Pol Sci

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Who runs and is elected is one of the most fundamental questions in political science as it pertains to the issue of descriptive representation. Despite the importance of this issue, until recently there were no longitudinal datasets on candidates in Canadian elections. This article presents two novel datasets including information on all candidates who ran in Canadian federal and Ontario provincial elections from 1867 to 2019. I present how these data were collected and how they can be used to gain new insights. I expect these data will be a valuable resource to Canadian political scientists for both research and teaching purposes.

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“…Non-financial data were assembled from several online sources. Data for incumbency were collected from the Pundits' Guide to Canadian Elections (Funke, 2015), and their reliability was verified by comparing them to Sevi and colleagues’ (2018, 2019) candidate dataset 6 . Similarly, data for members of cabinet immediately before the election campaign were gathered from the Parliament of Canada website (Canada, Parliament, 2019) and media reports (CBC News, 2007, 2008, 2011).…”

Section: Hypotheses and Datamentioning

confidence: 99%

The National Growth of a Regional Party: Evidence of Linkages between Constituency Associations in the Conservative Party of Canada

Currie-Wood

2020

Can J Pol Sci

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Reforms to campaign finance laws at the beginning of the twenty-first century led to concerns that Canadian political parties would become more centralized, thereby altering the stratarchical arrangement between local party organizations and the national party office. This article extends the period of analysis to 2008 and 2011. Although concerns were not unfounded, data reported in this article reveal that horizontal linkages developed between constituency associations in the Conservative Party of Canada, instead of downward money transfers from the national office. The article compares the Conservative party to its major competitors and explores three regional cases where these linkages are prevalent. Tobit regression is used to examine whether monetary transfers are coordinated by the central office or initiated by local constituency associations. Given weak evidence for the latter, the findings demonstrate that parties with a reliable base of support can leverage their campaign resources from one region into a national presence.

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Legislative Party Switching and the Changing Nature of the Canadian Party System, 1867–2015

Cited by 11 publications

References 33 publications

Short-Term Pain for Long-Term Gain: The Logic of Legislative Party Switching in the Contemporary American South

Short-Term Pain for Long-Term Gain: The Logic of Legislative Party Switching in the Contemporary American South

Who Runs? Canadian Federal and Ontario Provincial Candidates from 1867 to 2019

The National Growth of a Regional Party: Evidence of Linkages between Constituency Associations in the Conservative Party of Canada

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