Background
Identifying hospitalized patients at risk for QT interval
prolongation could lead to interventions to reduce the risk of torsades de
pointes (TdP). Our objective was to develop and validate a risk score for QT
prolongation in hospitalized patients.
Methods and Results
In this study in a single tertiary care institution, consecutive
patients (n=900) admitted to cardiac care units comprised the risk score
development group (DG). The score was then applied to 300 additional
patients in a validation group (VG). Corrected QT (QTc) interval
prolongation (defined as QTc > 500 ms and/or an increase
of > 60 ms from baseline) occurred in 274 (30.4%) and 90
(30.0%) patients in the DG and VG, respectively. Independent
predictors of QTc prolongation included: female (odds ratio [OR],
1.5; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.1–2.0), diagnosis of
myocardial infarction [2.5 (1.6–3.9)], sepsis [2.7
(1.5–4.8)], left ventricular dysfunction [2.7 (1.6–5.0)],
administration of a QT-prolonging drug [2.8 (2.0–4.0)], ≥ 2
QT- prolonging drugs [2.6 (1.9–5.6)], or loop diuretic [1.4
(1.0–2.0)], age > 68 years [1.3 (1.0–1.8)], serum
K+ < 3.5 mEq/L [2.1 (1.5–2.9)], and admitting
QTc > 450 ms [2.3; CI (1.6–3.2)]. Risk scores
were developed by assigning points based on Log ORs. Low, moderate and high
risk ranges of 0–6, 7–10 and 11–21 points,
respectively, best predicted QTc prolongation (C statistic =
0.823). A high risk score > 11 was associated with sensitivity =
0.74, specificity = 0.77, positive predictive value = 0.79 and negative
predictive value = 0.76. In the VG, the incidences of QTc
prolongation were 15% (low risk); 37% (moderate risk);
73% (high risk).
Conclusions
A risk score using easily obtainable clinical variables predicts
patients at highest risk for QTc prolongation and may be useful
in guiding monitoring and treatment decisions.