Lessons from being challenged by COVID-19

Abstract

Elsevier has created a COVID-19 resource centre with free information in English and Mandarin on the novel coronavirus COVID-19. The COVID-19 resource centre is hosted on Elsevier Connect, the company's public news and information website. Elsevier hereby grants permission to make all its COVID-19-related research that is available on the COVID-19 resource centre-including this research content-immediately available in PubMed Central and other publicly funded repositories, such as the WHO COVID database with rights for unrestricted research re-use and analyses in any form or by any means with acknowledgement of the original source. These permissions are granted for free by Elsevier for as long as the COVID-19 resource centre remains active.

The first 100 days: Modeling the evolution of the COVID-19 pandemic

“…In studying past epidemics, scientists have systematically applied “random mixing” models which assume that an infectious individual may spread the disease to any susceptible member of the population, as originally considered by Kermack and McKendrick [1] . More recent modeling approaches considered contact networks in which the epidemic spreads only across the edges of a contact network within a population [2] , [3] , [4] , Bayesian inference models [5] , models of spatial contacts in real cities or countries or in large-scale artificial cities and synthetic populations [6] , [7] , [8] , and computational predictions of protein structures [9] , to name just a few of the modeling efforts.…”

Dynamics of epidemics: Impact of easing restrictions and control of infection spread

“…During a pandemic like COVID-19, besides the important work of forecasting [21] and evaluating public health strategies [22] , the impact of easing containment measures should be carefully evaluated to avoid drastic spikes in infections and, consequently, reimpose heavy social and economic restrictions.…”

Dynamics of epidemic diseases without guaranteed immunity

“…[ 7 ], Krishna and Prakash [ 13 ], Tagliazucchi et al. [ 21 ], Lin et al. [ 16 ], Anastassopoulou et al.…”