2022
DOI: 10.1126/sciadv.abo3395
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Lifetime risk of imprisonment in the United States remains high and starkly unequal

Abstract: How likely are U.S. males and females of different ethnoracial groups to be imprisoned over the course of their lives, and how have these risks changed in recent decades? Using survey and administrative data, we update 20th-century estimates of the cumulative risk of imprisonment for the 21st century. In 2016, non-Hispanic Black males’ lifetime risk of imprisonment remained very high—more than 16%—but decreased substantially relative to extreme levels of risk in the 1990s and early 2000s. The lifetime risk of … Show more

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Cited by 19 publications
(6 citation statements)
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“…A wealth of research has also testified to the different treatments received by people of color, particularly Black individuals, in sentencing (Mustard, 2001; Rehavi & Starr, 2014; Yang, 2015) and, parallelly, in arrest (Bushway et al., 2022; Golub et al., 2007; Roehrkasse & Wildeman, 2022) and incarceration prevalence (Bales & Piquero, 2012; Duxbury, 2021a; Sykes & Pettit, 2014; Western et al., 2021).…”
Section: Homicide Clearance and The Broader Literature On Racial Ineq...mentioning
confidence: 99%
“…A wealth of research has also testified to the different treatments received by people of color, particularly Black individuals, in sentencing (Mustard, 2001; Rehavi & Starr, 2014; Yang, 2015) and, parallelly, in arrest (Bushway et al., 2022; Golub et al., 2007; Roehrkasse & Wildeman, 2022) and incarceration prevalence (Bales & Piquero, 2012; Duxbury, 2021a; Sykes & Pettit, 2014; Western et al., 2021).…”
Section: Homicide Clearance and The Broader Literature On Racial Ineq...mentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Race/ethnicity likely also plays a central role, as African Americans and Native Americans, both of whom have lifetime risks of imprisonment far in excess of those of other groups (Roehrkasse & Wildeman 2022) and often extensive family experiences with violence, poverty, and criminal justice contact (Natl. Acad.…”
Section: Race/ethnicity Class and Gendermentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Carceral systems include nearly 1600 state prisons, 98 federal prisons, more than 3000 local jails, and 1300 juvenile correctional facilities, as well as other facilities . Based on 2016 prison admission rates, an estimated 9% of male and 2% of female individuals will be incarcerated during their lifetime . Meanwhile, Black people are disproportionality incarcerated in the US, reflecting historic and current institutional racism within the criminal justice system, including discriminatory policing, prosecution, and sentencing practices.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…3 Based on 2016 prison admission rates, an estimated 9% of male and 2% of female individuals will be incarcerated during their lifetime. 4 Meanwhile, Black people are disproportionality incarcerated in the US, 1 , 2 reflecting historic and current institutional racism within the criminal justice system, including discriminatory policing, prosecution, and sentencing practices. Defined as a key social determinant of health by Healthy People 2030, incarceration has been associated with several adverse health outcomes, including infectious diseases, chronic conditions, mental health disorders, and increased mortality.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%